Dara O’Kearney means that it is best to ramp up the aggression if you find yourself on the penultimate table greater than the ultimate table.
Earlier this 12 months I wrote an article a few large false impression about laddering in tournaments the place I introduced the idea of Bubble Factor. In it I made the remark that the ultimate table bubble has way more excessive ICM strain than any spot at the ultimate table itself.
This means that you’ve to play rather a lot tighter on ultimate table bubbles than you’d at the ultimate table itself and infrequently even the first cash bubble. However, the 2nd to last table in a poker tournament is typically the place the sport is won. Because everybody has to play tighter and since everybody actually needs to get to the ultimate table, this is a spot the place you possibly can decide up a whole lot of chips.
In truth, whereas it nonetheless holds true that it is best to tighten up generally, taking excessive variance traces close to the begin of your 2nd to last table generally is a good technique.
I do know individuals suppose I’m a giant previous nit who folds his approach to ultimate tables, then tries to ladder up from ninth place. Actually, I have a tendency to play 2nd last tables aggressively as a result of getting to the ultimate table with a stack is big. It’s large in future fairness phrases. It’s the last spot I see as a golden alternative to set myself up for a prime three end.
The ICM of the small ladder jumps between locations 18-10 are nothing anyway. Plus in case you are a great participant you get the alternative to play 5 and 6 handed on the approach to the ultimate table, which ought to provide you with an extra edge the place you possibly can exert large ICM strain.
If you play strictly by ICM you’ll find yourself folding a bit an excessive amount of. There is an inflection level, the time comes the place it is value playing for a giant stack. One of my college students chopped a SCOOP Main Event this 12 months and at the 2nd last table he elevate/known as off KQ in opposition to a giant stack. His rationale was he knew it wasn’t an amazing spot but when he won this spot, he could be the chip chief and he may hound the ultimate table bubble, which he did and he was in a tremendous spot.
The excessive variance line ought to nonetheless be a worthwhile one, we aren’t speaking about punting off a stack calling all-in with 67s with 14 gamers left. It is additionally higher to take the excessive variance line early at the begin of the 2nd to last table so you possibly can get pleasure from the chip lead for longer. Gambling when 11 gamers stay is a expensive ICM punt since you are so shut to the large payouts. But taking a excessive variance line with 18 gamers remaining is not that expensive from an ICM perspective and places you able to construct a stack whereas most of the table will tighten up.
Future fairness is a factor in tournaments in addition to ICM. The begin of the ultimate two tables is a singular time the place you have got an opportunity to construct a really large stack so you possibly can cruise on the ultimate table itself.
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