Who’s by means of?
Bayern have received Group A with out breaking sweat, profitable 4 of their 5 video games, drawing the opposite and racking up 16 targets. Favourites to go all the way at 4.216/5 and the workforce no-one needs to play within the subsequent spherical.
Second-favourites are Man City (5.69/2), who’re on the identical 13 factors Bayern are on. They’ve already received the group forward of Porto (150.0149/1) with the pair dominating a very poor Group C.
Liverpool (8.07/1) booked their place within the Last 16 because of a hard-fought 1-0 win towards Ajax.
Better nonetheless, they’ve received the Group, regardless of that shock dwelling defeat to Atalanta final week.
Group E was one other low on depth in high quality however Chelsea (15.0) and Sevilla (46.0) will simply be glad to have certified for the subsequent spherical with none fuss. Frank Lampard’s males secured first place after thrashing final yr’s Europa League winners away in midweek.
Dortmund (25.024/1) will likely be within the Last 16 draw as properly however nonetheless have work to do in the event that they’re to win Group F. A win in Zenit would do the trick however a beneficial outcome within the different recreation would see them prime the Group anyway.
Group G was the sexiest one from the outset and its Big 2 have made gentle work of progressing from it. Barca (16.015/1) boast an 100% file and can virtually definitely prime the Group; Juventus (22.021/1) solely misplaced to Barca, profitable their different 4 video games. They play one another on Matchday 6 and solely an enormous Juve win would deprive Messi and co of profitable the Group.
Those are two massive outright costs for 2 of Europe’s elite groups.
The two Madrids leaving it late
It’s a little bit of a thriller as to how Atletico Madrid could be flying in La Liga however struggling within the Champions League in a comparatively weak group. They’ve received only one recreation from 5 however their three attracts have them forward of Red Bull Salzburg by one level. Avoid defeat in Austria on Match Day 5, the place the hosts are 3.052/1 on the match odds market, and Atleti are by means of. At 27.026/1 they’re going to look a worth guess in the event that they get the job finished in Salzburg.
Real’s struggles have been well-documented and it could virtually definitely be the final nail in Zinedine Zidane’s in the event that they missed out on a Last 16 place. The maths on this one is way from easy.
They’ll undergo in the event that they beat Monchengladbach at dwelling, a 1.824/5 likelihood, they usually’ll truly win the Group in the event that they win, and Shakhtar do not. A draw against Monchengladbach, a 3.814/5 likelihood, would see Real by means of if Inter go on to beat Shakhtar. It’s 25.024/1 that Los Merengues win the Champions League but once more however that does not look possible. They might not even make into the Europa League.
As for Inter, it is all-or-nothing for them after they host Shakhtar and it is simply 1.331/3 they win, the one outcome that may see them progress. But even that may not be sufficient. A draw within the different recreation, that 3.814/5 shot we talked about, would imply they’re out no matter what occurs of their match.
It’s 60.059/1 that Inter win what can be their second Champions League title, however Monchengladbach (110.0) who will undergo in the event that they keep away from defeat in Madrid or if the Inter recreation is drawn, are within the stronger place in the mean time.
Italian duo could make it by means of
The ever-entertaining Atalanta (60.059/1), who went on a wonderful run final marketing campaign earlier than being knocked out by PSG very late on within the recreation, even have one foot within the Last 16. They must keep away from defeat to Ajax (100.099/1) in Group D, who are priced at 2.3211/8. For Ajax, something lower than a win simply will not do however a minimum of they know that they are assured a spot within the Europa League if they do not get that win.
Another do-or-die match involving an Italian aspect is Lazio v Club Brugge in Group F.
A win (1.824/5) or a draw (4.1) sees them progress however a win for the Belgians means they’re by means of. At least Brugge will likely be within the Europa League if they do not pull it off.
Manchester mission to Leipzig: keep away from defeat.
Lots at stake on this group on Tuesday night time. Leipzig are 2.77/4 to win at dwelling to Manchester United and if the Red Devils can keep away from defeat, they’re going to have booked their place within the subsequent spherical. Leipzig get two bites of the cherry: win the sport they usually’re by means of but draw it (3.8) and it is all eyes on the closest smartphone for updates on the opposite recreation.
If PSG had been to lose at dwelling to Basaksehir, then it could be them lacking out if the sport ended a attract Leipzig. But in the event that they had been to win, only a 1.132/15 likelihood, they’d not solely make it to the subsequent spherical however would additionally win the group within the course of.
So, it is PSG in pole place and odds of 12.5 suggests not solely that they are virtually assured to make it by means of however may very well be one of many sides to beat.
As for United, transferring throughout to the Europa League is very a lot a risk, so odds of 36.035/1 that this problem-riddled aspect go on to really win the Champions League, do not look beneficiant sufficient.