Six handicaps at Hamilton and the opening novice are on the menu for Sunday and are all given to ITV4 whereas Leopardstown has the standard with protection for the marginally later beginning terrestrial action, with the Derby Trial headlining a card that has two supporting Group races.
It’s a day of selection, not the type of selection we might be used to again within the day on ITV, and with the runners in Scotland plentiful with 5 of the six handicaps all holding 15 runners, it’s actually a bit extra of a punting day and my bets are throughout 7/1 to 10s.
Shame they can not all be 16, however we will not have all the pieces.
I’ll begin with the Aidan O’Brien and Ryan Moore huge hope, and Moore’s Derby and Oaks prep week takes him from Chester, to Lingfield and Sunday throughout the ocean with Stone Age – a horse wanting to add to Ballydoyle’s dominance in current seasons, though surprisingly Moore has solely ridden the winner as soon as within the final 10 years on condition that O’Brien 50% of these 10.
Stone Age gained a Navan maiden final outing, so has the health, and he additionally had the score as prior to successful at Navan in March, he was the highest-rated maiden within the nation at 109. His juvenile marketing campaign was a troublesome one, with 5 races and a heavy-ground effort within the Jean Luc Lagadere
He hated the testing French turf and the profit of first rate spring floor noticed him in a greater mild final outing and that is the favoured race for Ballydoyle as an alternative of the Dante for which he held an entry subsequent week.
It goes with out saying that 1m4f for a good-moving horse for Epsom are each components that may go well with and he is 12/1 on the Sportsbook for The Derby, though Luxembourg’s worth at 6/1 is half however beneath a bit of scrutiny following the information over the previous few days he did not come out of the two,000 Guineas 100%.
The Ger Lyons-trained Atomic Jones beat Stone Age by a head in a beneath pair Group 2 final time period, and he has a bit extra of a stamina query actually with 1m4f additional down the road, whereas Jim Bolger’s gradual begin to the season has not likely been enhancing of late, with no winner within the final 17 despatched out from his base, and simply 4 from 57 all season. No juvenile or older horse has gained a race bar his 3yos.
Manu Et Corde goes for the wily previous fox, with the Latin that means of stated horse “The Doctor works by hand and heart”.
I fairly like French Claim, and it is nice to see Paddy Twomey mixing it with the large weapons, and his horse posted a large margin win final outing at Cork in smooth floor, and clocked a very good time.
He made the working and improved for the step up to 1m2f on that event, and with health, I feel he’ll get 1m4f down the road, he seems to be worthy as a wager to tackle the favorite, and he may additionally take him on for the lead as each have pressured the tempo.
No rain is on the forecast, however he’ll get pleasure from going this fashion round, however he is not precisely a large worth, and whereas the remit for the column actually is to go for one thing at first rate odds, I’ll have him if we are able to get round 4.57/2 on the Exchange.
The following Group 3 Amethyst Stakes is the all-age contest over 1m, however as soon as once more not many runners with the hand dealt us. I’m a real subscriber to the talents of Ado McGuinness, a person who continues to play an enormous function in handicaps.
Preterville is an effective floor horse and has a pleasant means of travelling in his races with a good flip of foot. If it turns into tactical he’s a participant, as he holds a burst of acceleration and outran his odds final time at Listed degree. He additionally beat the 113-rated Thunder Moon at Dundalk, however this can be a degree above.
The prize cash for the Sky Bet Sunday Series has actually boosted the standard quiet finish of the week, and the playing cards on supply for a Sunday two weeks in the past cast one of the worst day’s racing I’ve seen for some time. However, the Sunday Series was a hit 12 months in the past and a card with lots of handicaps livens up the afternoon. The time slot is an effective one too, and it is a much more attention-grabbing product than the Racing League.
For the opener over 1m1f, Tim Easterby’s Myristica sneaks into the 0-80 off prime weight and she or he has given the impression up to now that stepping up to 1m4f sooner or later may be her factor.
She was a troublesome 3yo, typical from the yard, though regarded a tough experience at instances. However, she ran in a single of these Sunday Series race at Musselburgh final time period and completed third, though did not seem completely in love with the observe. However, she had lots of type at Ripon, which makes her a bit of conundrum, however the way in which she travelled on first rate floor final time period in a 0-90 suggests she may be nicely handled nonetheless from 80.
Her in-running worth in defeat at Ripon was 1.364/11, and that was her second loss at odds-on in-play, however that is her kind of grade and the stiff end in a well-run race will go well with. The journey of 1m1f is a discount in distance for her, as I do suppose she is price having a go once more at 1m4f, however the stiff uphill end will assist her.
The stiff end comes into play for one other of the Sunday picks with King Triton, and whereas he’s sticking to the prolonged mile for the 16:48, he has type in a far deeper grade at 0-90 and 0-95 degree for Grant Tuer, and this might spark a very good season in handicaps.
Tuer is somewhat quiet in phrases of steady type with only one winner from his final 19 runners, however the 4yo regarded a very good bit of enterprise from Roger Varian’s yard, though once I say good enterprise, the 100 grand that was parted with for his new proprietor wasn’t low cost.
He is bred to be good, as are all Mohammed Obaid Al Maktoum’s horse (the earlier proprietor). He solely lasted three races for Varian and gained a Novice at Thirsk on fast floor (boosted by the second who went on to file a score within the mid-90s), however he made an instantaneous impression at York for his Tuer debut working a blinder when third off a mark of 85. He regarded nicely handicapped afterwards (hindsight!), however that was a a lot stronger race than he’ll be in in the present day.
King Triton was a contact eager in that, and was very unfortunate at Thirsk off simply 1lb increased on his subsequent begin when he met hassle in a muddling race the place the gradual gallop did not go well with him. An even bigger area on Sunday at a larger tempo will go well with, and hopefully he can hold out of hassle from his attract eight, however he shapes as if he’ll keep additional.
He ought to be spot on after a Ripon comeback, his first of the season and 231 days, and few horses will be higher bred than this fella.
His dam is a half-sister to Dubawi, and he is associated to these Obaid horses Emirates Queen and Princess Nada, and out of the sire of sires Invincible Spirit, it was considerably shocking he left Carlburg after simply three runs, however he actually seems to be nicely handled from 85 – dropped 1lb for Ripon. Triton was the Greek God of the ocean, however he would not seem to want smooth floor and the rain fortunately.
Five furlong sprints at Hamilton and massive fields are usually not significantly straightforward, however if you’re wanting for potential Place Lay, I’d be in opposition to Kevin Ryan’s Sound Reason.
He’s a front-runner, and is greatest when allowed to dominate, which could not be the case right here from stall 5. And whereas he was constant final time period with wins at Beverley and Carlisle, I’m removed from satisfied in regards to the type of Ryan’s yard in the intervening time. A pair of favourites for the coach have been crushed not too long ago at brief odds, though he did have a winner at Hamilton within the week to take his tally to 2-24 up to now fortnight. But if this horse is bounced out, he may be one to use Keep Bets and ask for a lay with three locations in-running.
Easterby has a strong-hand because the one-two from the Ripon Silver Sprint Trophy final time go head-to-head once more with Ava Go Joe taking up Showalong.
Ava Go Joe has began the season nicely with two wins in his two begins, and as a number of of Easterby’s are needing their first runs of the season, it is much more meritorious that he’s unbeaten for the marketing campaign.
He got here from off the tempo at Ripon, and a sizzling tempo too because the sectional information threw up some quick early fractions. Showalong has the flexibility to run sub-11 seconds, and did so with a ten.90 early cut up, however the truth they went fairly exhausting suited Ava Go Joe and he was in a position to come from off the tempo to win – one thing which is not all the time straightforward there.
A small rise within the weights is not prohibitive and he is progressive, and with type over 7f, anticipate him to be outpaced however he’ll be staying on. He may additionally be price taking part in with a better worth in-running as he went to nearly double the percentages final time at Ripon with an in-play worth of 12.5 from 7.06/1, and it was additionally the identical at Nottingham when successful final time period hitting a excessive of 14.5 from 8.07/1.
Potentially he may be an Ayr Gold Cup/Silver Cup horse. Maybe Bronze. The new Golden Apollo. This is a 30 grand race and 18k goes to winner. This is what Sunday racing ought to be like.
I’ve discovered yet one more wager in Scotland for the 1m5f handicap, because it appeals a bit greater than the shorter distances, and Haizoom loved such a productive 2021, she will make her mark at a better degree for extra money.
Carluke handler Keith Dalgleish’s eyes will need to have lit up when he found she was accessible to purchase as a daughter of Sea The Stars final time period. She did win for earlier coach Marcus Tregoning, however a 23,000 deal final summer season a minimum of was paid again (nearly) with two wins at Ripon and Musselburgh. One of these came to visit 2m, so it is a widespread theme for Sunday’s picks selecting out runners with the flexibility to see out a visit, and extra.
Haizoom landed the Musselburgh Gold Cup final time period regardless of the gradual tempo, however she ran shut to that degree with a second within the Stayers Final at Nottingham. That was a cracking effort
contemplating she got here from a great distance again to nearly get there.
She is powerful in a end, backed up by two of her closing sectionals at a velocity venue resembling Musselburgh final time period; working 11.77 and 11.56. The latter was within the penultimate furlong, and that is not too shabby for a stayer.
I can see her working an enormous race, and the early costs up on Saturday morning had her at 10/1, so she makes the each-way wager.
Good luck for Sunday.