Tottenham v Crystal Palace
Sunday 7 March, 19:15
Live on Sky Sports Premier League and Main Event
Encouraging indicators for Spurs
Spurs head into this match having gained three consecutive video games with out conceding however it’s the 9 objectives on the different finish which have raised spirits among the many Tottenham devoted.
One suspects a major variety of these followers would have been giving Jose Mourinho some grief over the previous couple of months had they been allowed to attend video games however many now appear to be getting extra of what they need – a extra attack-minded line-up with each Gareth Bale and Dele Alli firmly again within the fold in latest weeks.
Serge Aurier additionally seems to be set to return for this contest and for all his faults he is an improve on Matt Doherty on the precise.
The hosts are 1.51/2 for one more win within the match result market and with a 10-4-1 document towards the groups presently beneath them within the desk – Spurs sit eighth, 5 factors off the highest 4 with a sport in hand – they may seemingly get it.
Expect defensive method from Eagles
Palace, 8.07/1 for victory, have been their traditional gritty selves for a lot of the season however their model of soccer is fairly grim. Roy Hodgson’s defence-first method seems to be like it would once more obtain Premier League survival however I doubt it is coincidence that each the supervisor’s contract and a lot of participant offers have been allowed to run all the way down to their ultimate few months. It appears a summer time of change is on the playing cards at Selhurst Park.
The Eagles have failed to attain in 4 of their final 5, though no less than two extra factors have been added to their tally over the previous week with goalless attracts towards Fulham and Manchester United.
Their lack of objectives coincided with the absence of star man Wilfried Zaha however he is set to return right here which will likely be excellent news for Palace followers – and anybody else planning to tune in to look at Palace.
In a crew pleased to take a seat again and absorb strain, he no less than provides them an outlet and an actual risk on the break.
However, the guests’ damage checklist stays a protracted one with James McCarthy (groin) the most recent to hitch it. Others presently sidelined embody James McArthur, James Tomkins and Mamadou Sakho.
I anticipate Spurs to have the firepower to interrupt down that Palace defence and declare the win nevertheless it’s onerous to get enthusiastic about 1.51/2.
Spurs HT/FT worth?
Other potential methods to again them embody within the half time/full time market wherein they’re 2.285/4.
Mourinho’s males have led on the break in eight of their 13 house video games and their document towards Palace provides a lot optimism.
Since returning to the Premier League in 2013, Palace are but to attain at Spurs, dropping six and drawing one.
The off-putting statistic right here is that Spurs have solely transformed a half-time lead into three factors on eight of 13 events, a stick which has been used to beat Mourinho with.
Under objectives tempting
Moving on to the purpose strains, I identified final week how there was an absence of objectives at White Hart Lane – or no matter individuals name it today – this season. They duly scored inside two minutes towards Burnley and went on to demolish them 4-0!
However, the stats nonetheless recommend under 2.5 goals is respectable wager – it is landed in 62% of Spurs’ house video games.
And the best way Palace set-up, it is not troublesome to envisage them proving onerous to interrupt down – 52% of their video games this season have gone underneath this line.
The unders right here will be backed at 2.01/1 which is value consideration.
Spurs on Eagles’ shoot
However, I’m going to save lots of my betting financial institution for the photographs markets, ones I’ve been in search of angles in throughout latest weeks.
The one I like right here is for Spurs to rain photographs down on the Palace purpose.
The guests will look to dig in, as they did efficiently towards Fulham and United – and in addition just lately at Brighton, who misplaced regardless of having 25 photographs that night time.
A packed defence might nicely lead Spurs to start out taking pot photographs every time they’ll – it is a tactic Harry Kane definitely likes. Palace will block many however the wager would not care about that.
Premier League Tactical Preview: Alex Keble on the weekend’s motion
The Eagles have conceded no less than 16 photographs in 5 of their final six video games with their most up-to-date away tallies being 25 (Brighton), 17 (Leeds) and 21 (Newcastle).
Spurs managed 16 photographs towards Burnley final Sunday and in addition 20 at West Ham the weekend earlier than.
Having additionally landed 20 and 23 in house video games with Leeds and Newcastle respectively, there are some respectable formlines to recommend they’ll hit 16 or more shots towards opponents of the same degree.
That choice is surprisingly supplied at 11/10 and ought to be taken.
The apparent hazard is an early Spurs purpose and if they’re cruising by the break then anticipate a managed second-half show with vitality saved for Thursday’s Europa League tie.
However, I’ll belief Palace to maintain issues tight, simply as they managed to do towards United in midweek.
Tottenham are unbeaten of their final 11 Premier League conferences with Crystal Palace (W9 D2), their longest ongoing run towards any facet presently within the division.
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