The newest Hartlepool by-election odds from the Betfair Exchange present bettors closely backing the Conservatives following a shock poll says Max Liu…
The Conservatives are an 83% chance on the Exchange to win the Hartlepool by-election on Thursday after a poll gave them a 17 level lead over Labour.
The Tories have been odds-on to win the seat – which Labour has held since 1964 – for weeks however at present the value shortened considerably with Keir Starmer’s party drifting to 4.67/2.
Hartlepool, constituency voting intention:
CON: 50% (+1)
LAB: 33% (-9)
IND (Walker): 6% (+4)
IND (Lee): 6% (+6)
GRN: 3% (+2)
REFUK: 1% (-)
by way of @Survation, 23 – 29 Apr
Chgs. w/ 03 Apr
? Britain Elects (@BritainElects) May 4, 2021
The poll exhibits voters abandoning Labour, which received the seat by just below 3000 votes within the normal election of 2019, and flocking to unbiased candidates, because the Tories and Green Party improve their help too.
This comes as nationwide voting intention polling printed on the weekend confirmed Labour slicing into the lead that Conservatives have loved for the reason that roll out of the vaccine.
Boris Johnson’s authorities has been mired in allegations of sleaze and impropriety in current weeks and the odds on him leaving before 2024 shortened final week.
Paul Krishnmaurty offers an in-depth evaluation of Johnson’s issues and there will likely be extra on Hartlepool and the elections in Scotland and elsewhere, that are all on Thursday, within the subsequent couple of days.