It was ever so good of ITV Racing to scupper my plans for a leisurely weekend of racing and rugby by placing on 9 races on Monday, however learning horse racing is hardly akin to a day down the mines – in his early days down the pit in Whitehaven my previous man by no means noticed daylight from Monday to Friday in the winter months – so I’ll shut it.
The Irish Grand National clearly takes satisfaction of place, and there are lots at the prime of the market with very robust claims.
The three that appealed most are the 11/2 favorite Latest Exhibition, Agusta Gold and Escaria Ten.
From a category and handicapping perspective, I feel the jolly has an terrible lot going for him, as his exploits towards Monkfish this season certainly make him a well-treated horse off 153. The first-time cheek items are clearly an unknown, although.
Connections of Escaria Ten have additionally gone the similar approach by making use of the similar preliminary headgear, and in each circumstances I discover it a bit stunning. I definitely have not seen something in this horse’s current performances, most just lately a 3rd in the National Hunt Chase, to recommend they have been wanted, however then once more the trainers know them higher than me.
Actually once I stated Escaria Ten was one in every of the horses in direction of the prime of the market, I’m shocked that there was a number of current opposition to him on the trade. He is a 14/1 likelihood, six locations, with the Betfair Sportsbook however the trade layers have pushed him out to 19.018/1.
Go for Gold with Agusta
The third horse with apparent claims is Agusta Gold, having her first begin for Willie Mullins after becoming a member of him from his sister-in-law (or so I’m informed, anyway, as these household ties take a little bit of unravelling!) Mags.
Presumably Willie, who couldn’t have his horses in a lot better type of late, has given the mare loads of time to mattress in since becoming a member of him, as his coaching regime apparently takes new arrivals some time to get used to, or so the stats say anyway.
Put it this fashion, she is unlikely to have regressed since arriving at Closutton, was presumably despatched there to get prepped for this problem by the maestro.
The mare scores extremely on confirmed stamina having completed a slender second in a Grand National Trial over 3m4f in heavy floor at Punchestown final 12 months – she hit 1.261/4 in operating – and she or he beat Moyhenna a cosy ½ size on her most up-to-date chase begin over 2m5f in a Grade 3 right here the flip of the 12 months.
She has lot of type on this anticipated higher floor too, she has by no means fallen in her profession (or been out of the first 4). She has type figures of 231 at the observe, and she have to be a really huge participant at round 11s on the trade.
Furthermore, I could not see a number of tempo in right here, so I would not be in any respect shocked in the event that they despatched her ahead, as she has executed on a number of events, and out of bother.
It was attention-grabbing to see Danny Mullins namecheck this race instantly after he gained on her in January, maybe unsurprisingly so given her profile, and he additionally talked about this was the plan final 12 months earlier than Covid intervened.
I reckon their endurance and planning could possibly be rewarded right here, so I am backing her at 11.521/2 on the exchange.
I did toy with siding together with her at 8s each-way, however I made a decision on the win-only path at an even bigger worth.
Meade runner completes my Brace of Irish National ideas
I would like two on my facet in a race like this although, and the different pair I discussed are honest costs, particularly Escaria Ten, however I’m going to stick up Brace Yourself at 25/1 each way, six places, with the Betfair Sportsboook.
He is a a lot improved horse this season, profitable at Gowran Park on good floor in October, and he proved his stamina when second in the Porterstown in gentle floor over course and distance in November.
I stated proved his stamina however he in all probability did not end off his race as strongly because it checked out one level – he traded at 1.68/13 in operating – however I do not suppose you may label him a non-stayer in any respect as the winner Court Maid gagged up (and was overwhelmed solely a size off an 8lb larger mark subsequent time) and he completed a superb second.
And the fourth, Forza Milan, gained on his subsequent begin, whereas the fifth Scoir Mear gained the Leinster National final time.
Maybe the higher floor right here will see him come dwelling with much more gusto, and I hope he has been put away with this race in thoughts since that outing in November, and never due to any issues.
And, in any case, he goes very properly when contemporary, too.
With simply six begins over fences to date, he should have a number of scope for enchancment and he seems a good wager to me.
Poor turn-out for Kempton ITV races
I’m going to go away it there, as nothing a lot catches eye in different Irish races, and Kempton have to be devastated by the turn-out for his or her ITV races.
The 1m Listed fillies’ race has attracted a good area of 10 although, and I might positively get caught into Lavender’s Blue if I knew she was match and firing. She’d eat these at her finest,
But she is unproven on the trac and ran reasonably on her reappearance final season, so I can let her go. Amanda Perrett’s horses have been operating properly of late although, so it wasn’t a simple swerve.
Have a superb one.