At least 13 of the 16 first spherical favourites gained, sending an additional sign that this is the strongest World Championship renewal of all-time. Such is the usual, there are no simple video games from right here.
Big-guns very brief odds to progress
That logic ought to apply to even the perfect, and most evident favourites. Ronnie O’Sullivan and Neil Robertson kick off the second spherical, each accessible at 2/9 odds to take care of 100% data against Anthony McGill and Jack Lisowski respectively.
Big-hitters could also be completely happy to take 1.491/2 in regards to the double however that kind of tactic is not often to my liking, particularly in three session matches. Even if the formbook does get up, there’s each probability considered one of these succesful outsiders leads at some stage, flipping the betting.
Of the 2, McGill is a lot most well-liked. It is no nice shock that he trails Ronnie 0-6, given the gulf between their common customary. The Scot did not at all times fare terribly – one went to a decider and the final two have been 6-4 defeats, in a semi and a serious quarter-final.
McGill is formidable on the Crucible
Plus there is the venue and format to contemplate. McGill’s victory over Ricky Walden was his eighth in 14 matches on the Crucible, and he scored closely with 4 80+ breaks. Having come inside a whisker of final 12 months’s last, he is aware of he can compete right here and evidently relishes the problem.
Whereas, while it appears ridiculous to criticise a six-time champion, this longer format has by no means been supreme for O’Sullivan. Even when successful the title, he is discovered himself effectively down and compelled to dig deep in last classes. See for instance final 12 months’s quarter-final against Mark Williams.
McGill was considered one of my pre-tournament picks so I actually will not deter anybody from taking 4.84/1, particularly for a commerce. Preference, nevertheless, is 10/11 to win 9 frames, through the 4.5 Frame Handicap. I’m assured he will not be thrashed.
Robertson to dominate Lisowski once more
That cannot be stated about Lisowski, as a result of that is normally what occurs when he meets Robertson. The Aussie leads 39-19 in frames from their 5 conferences, together with 10-5 on the previous Tour Championship.
There is additionally his poor Crucible file to contemplate – two wins in 5 matches and thrashed 13-1 on his solely earlier look at this second spherical stage.
To be honest, Jack has improved significantly this season but when Robertson seems to be as centered and fluent because the previous month, he’ll take the world of stopping. I like odds of 13/8 about him successful 13-7 or higher, through the 5.5 Frame Handicap.
Follow Paul on Twitter @paulmotty