ITV have not had lots of luck on the numbers entrance when choosing their “away” races, and solely seven line up for the 6f handicap at Newbury at 14:05.
I did have a very good have a look at the race although – sincere, guv – however nothing got here of it, so let’s head straight to the Knavesmire, beginning with the ever-so-easy activity of fixing the 16-runner 2yo 5f Listed fillies’ contest at 13:50, a race through which solely two have run 3 times, eight are once-raced and we even have a newcomer for good measure.
‘The final no guess race’
Clues are considerably skinny on the bottom then, and I do not want a second invitation to swerve a juvenile warmth at the perfect of occasions.
I do not suppose many will object too strongly with the 5 1/2-length Newmarket debut winner Miami Girl heading the betting at 7/2. But apparently she is a little bit of a hothead and I get the distinct impression those that practice for the Amo Racing Limited homeowners, not unknown to transfer their horses round, are very eager to have their fees absolutely revved up first time out.
That type is a way forward of Daytona Lady’s Chelmsford win, as the whole lot that has come out of that race has been overwhelmed, however apparently she is well-regarded and she or he did win properly ultimately. However, I’d be in search of a minimum of double-figures about her.
In brief, it’s the final no-bet race for me.
Perfect News greatest hazard to Grand Dame
I’ll go away it to the gossip retailers and time bandits to kind out. The 3yo fillies race at 14:25 is a variation on the identical theme of unexposed females going at it hammer and tongs.
And, as soon as once more, there’s completely zero shock to see Grand Dame head the betting at 5/2, as she regarded probably high drawer when beating winners on her debut (albeit she was getting 6lb from them) at Ascot.
She oozed class there and in addition confirmed a very good angle to overcome apparent inexperience, and you may see why John Gosden left her within the Group 1 Coronation Stakes at Royal Ascot.
She would not have rather a lot to discover to attain the extent of the shape horses, and I’m not inclined to take her on, for all I can let her go unbacked and untipped on the head of the market.
As the betting suggests, 7/2 poke Perfect News is the most important hazard, having been thought to have wanted the run on her comeback within the Nell Gwyn and whose pedigree strongly suggests the step up to 1m will go well with.
Early Parachute value appears to be like large
On to the 1m2f56yd handicap at 15:00, and whether or not What’s The Story reappears 24 hours after his run right here on Thursday is anybody’s guess – I’m engaged on the idea of “no” – however in any case Parachute stands out for me right here.
He opened up at a basic 12/1 late on Wednesday morning, together with with the Betfair Sportsbook, and that regarded a particularly reasonable value certainly.
Massive, in actual fact.
Strangely for a horse who has received over 1m4f and completed a 3/4 -length third within the King George V Handicap at Royal Ascot over that journey final season, it seems that his coach Ed Walker isn’t a real believer in his stamina.
In his Weekender column on Wednesday Walker mentioned: “There is every reason to think he doesn’t stay a mile and a half.”
Nonsense clearly, however I do get the place he’s coming from, in that I feel he may very well be much more efficient over this shorter journey.
And, to be honest, the horse did look to empty over 1m4f at Epsom final time, for all that I feel that might have have had as a lot to do with him not completely dealing with the monitor shut dwelling.
Another purpose for him failing to get the job completed there might even have been a matter of focus, so I absolutely get the first-time blinkers angle, too (although his coach is an underwhelming 4 from 57 with this selection).
Whichever manner you narrow it although, he’s 1lb decrease than that shut third at Royal Ascot, he ran properly at Epsom final time, and he had the tempo to run Hurricane Lane to two lengths over 1m as a 2yo.
And it is a very winnable handicap.
I fee his probabilities, and I’m completely satisfied to back him each-way at 12/1 with the Sportsbook.
In reality, I’d fortunately again him at 8/1 and greater win and place, perhaps even a degree or so shorter.
Tashkan is the approaching pressure
The five-runner Yorkshire Cup at 15:35, is a contact underwhelming within the absence of Trueshan and Kyprios, so I assumed Tashkhan was the stand-out bet at 11/2 with the Betfair Sportsbook.
The market strongly prompt he would wish his Ascot comeback (went off at a Betfair SP of 8.83) and so it proved, however he formed properly sufficient there and 11/2 is much too temping a value on his second to Trueshan within the Long Distance Cup in October, a race through which Stradivarius was 2 ½ lengths away in third.
Okay, John Gosden’s stayer was not at his finest there however Tashkhan is the approaching pressure as a 4yo right here, and I’d have him as extra of a 4s poke, if that.
He has additionally run blinders on each outings right here, together with when fifth within the Melrose, a race through which he formed even higher than his good ending place and slim overwhelmed distance, and he’s undoubtedly the guess.
Nothing appeals on the costs within the 16:10, so I’ll maintain the sub completely satisfied and go away it there, brief and snappy.
Good luck, all.
Profit and Loss (from March 26 doesn’t embody Wednesday and Thursday’s outcomes)
Previous (April 14 2021 to March 25 2022)
P/L: + 183.1