Newcastle place trying a lot safer
Thanks to a mini-revival and the incompetence of others, Newcastle’s loosening grip on the Premier League seems to have tightened up again.
The Magpies at the moment are six factors forward of third-bottom Fulham and have a sport in hand on the Cottagers. Perhaps resurgent West Brom – eight again having performed the identical variety of matches – are the most important risk now with seven fixtures to finish.
Newcastle have given themselves respiration house after taking 4 factors from the final two video games.
First, there was a 2-2 house draw with Tottenham due to a late Joe Willock equaliser. Then, they fought again from 1-0 right down to win 2-1 at Burnley. Goals from Jacob Murphy and Allan Saint-Maximin secured a primary victory since early February.
Toon followers will little doubt have scoured the fixture checklist too. And though they’ve some powerful video games to come back, a house match with Sheffield United and a visit to Fulham supply some insurance coverage.
Relegation odds of 4.94/1 counsel Newcastle will not be secure simply but however they’ve traded as little as 1.625/8 for the drop so the image is trying a lot brighter.
West Ham nonetheless in dreamland
Let’s get this clear. What West Ham are doing is astonishing.
With seven video games to go, they’re within the high 4 and only a single level behind third-placed Leicester. The Hammers could be within the Champions League subsequent season. Who on earth could have predicted that?
A pair of 3-2 wins – away to Wolves and residential to Leicester – have stored that factors tally ticking over and their run-in is removed from brutal.
After the journey to Newcastle, they host Chelsea in what could be a decisive match. But after that it is Burnley (a), Everton (h), Brighton (a), West Brom (a) and Southampton (h).
And but… there’s nonetheless a nagging feeling that David Moyes trying haunted on the sidelines will change into acquainted viewing.
Even although they’ve received their final two video games, they had been 3-0 up in each. Either West Ham are operating out of fuel bodily or the enormity of what they’re doing is having an adversarial have an effect on mentally.
Before these late dramas, they’d attained after which blown one other 3-0 lead, this time in a 3-3 thriller towards Arsenal.
It is not good for the nerves. Can West Ham grasp on and declare fourth or will fatigue, anxiousness and the absence of injured key stars corresponding to Declan Rice and Michail Antonio lastly meet up with them?
West Ham are fancied to come back out on high on this early Saturday kick-off, buying and selling at simply 2.166/5 to bag their eighth away victory of the Premier League marketing campaign.
Newcastle are 3.8514/5 to make it back-to-back wins within the high flight for simply the second time this season. The Draw is 3.55.
History throws up a little bit of a shock when you’re not a fan of both staff and therefore do not know the head-to-heads.
West Ham have received simply two of their final 16 Premier League video games at Newcastle, dropping eight and drawing six.
But when you thought that stat was price repeating in a socially-distanced beer backyard, how about this one: David Moyes has performed 22 video games towards bottom-half groups since returning to West Ham and hasn’t misplaced any of them. Seriously, not a single one. He’s received 14 and drawn eight.
There’s contrasting proof for the win market so I’m inclined to look elsewhere for the perfect bets.
With West Ham video games the place to go for objectives it is no shock to see each Overs and BTTS buying and selling the way in which they’re.
Over 2.5 Goals is 1.9210/11 whereas Both groups to Score is simply 1.748/11.
Newcastle are no weak hyperlink if enjoying both of these as their final three video games have had three objectives or extra whereas BTTS has landed in seven of the Magpies’ final 10 outings.
Now for my precise bets.
West Ham’s capability to begin quick and wobble late appears fairly effectively ingrained so let’s attempt to money in on the Half Time/Full Time market.
There are two big-priced choices price and I’ll have a guess on each.
They are West Ham/Draw at 15.5 and West Ham/Newcastle at 4645/1.
Ideally, West Ham have the minimal lead on the break however, then again, they do look able to throwing away huge benefits.
The ‘right here we go again’ feeling is usually a horrible one and, sooner or later, a Hammers capitulation could finish in a defeat. It’s huge odds to take action and subsequently price a speculative punt.
Two West Ham gamers are within the objectives, Jesse Lingard and Jarrod Bowen.
Lingard has eight in 9 since bursting again to type following his mortgage from Manchester United. That contains three in his final two.
Bowen has three in three after strikes towards Arsenal, Wolves and Leicester.
For Newcastle, Callum Wilson is match again whereas the bubbling Allan Saint-Maximim has two in his final 4. Both could trigger mayhem if West Ham tire.
There are a lot of permutations together with placing all 4 in a Bet Builder and getting simply shy of fifty/1!
Lingard has scored the opener in every of his final 4 West Ham video games in order that’s an alternative choice (7/2) as his anytime worth of 5/4 is pretty brief regardless of his nice run.
Newcastle want to obtain their fifth Premier League double over West Ham (1993-94, 1994-95, 2010-11 and 2017-18), one thing they’ve solely executed as many instances within the competitors towards Spurs.