Given his outstanding stats for the season, it’s a daunting process to step into Dave Tindall’s sneakers this week, however at the least it’s for a match for which I do know the drill inside out. The Wyndham Championship is performed on the similar venue, on the similar time, yearly. For full particulars, take a look at Steve Rawlings’ complete match preview right here.
This is my course of. First as all the time, verify all of the key stats for this explicit take a look at, compiling an inventory of gamers that match the invoice. In this case, greens in regulation, strokes gained: method; driving accuracy, par-four efficiency and par-four birdie or higher leaders. Also, verify type on Bermuda greens.
Then run by means of that record, analysing their current and course type, together with the rest of the top-30 within the betting. The normal process for any occasion.
Next, verify all these names towards programs which particularly correlate with Sedgefield Country Club, as listed in Steve’s preview. Sawgrass, Harbour Town, Detroit Country Club, Keene Trace, Aronimink, East Lake.
Finally, verify the FedEx Cup record. The Wyndham is known for being the remaining counting occasion earlier than the play-offs and final probability for gamers exterior the top-125 to qualify. Time and once more, these bubble boys increase their video games when it issues.
I’ll begin with the quickly bettering Jason Kokrak. Known for years as a sensible ball-striker who could not get the job completed when it issues, the 36 year-old has now gained twice in lower than a yr. He noticed off Jordan Spieth on the Charles Schwab Championship in June and, after some first rate efforts simply off the tempo, might be prepared to go in once more.
For my cash, the following win will come at a observe the place there is a actually sturdy emphasis on iron play. This has lengthy been Kokrak’s forte.
Sedgefield, the place he is completed top-16 on three of his final 4 makes an attempt, must be completely good.
The key to success right here is an correct lengthy sport with nice method play to arrange birdie probabilities.
He’s obtained stable type at varied correlating tracks. Four instances top-20 on the Heritage, a profession finest ninth at this yr’s Players Championship at Sawgrass, twelfth in final month’s Rocket Mortgage Classic at Detroit, ninth on his sole go to to East Lake, top-20 on his sole go to to Aronimink. He thrives on Bermuda, as evidenced by top-20s on eight of his final 9 begins in Florida. Nearly all this got here throughout much less productive spells of his profession.
At 122nd place on the FedEx record, Ryan Armour must be simply protected, as a result of he is already stepped up to the plate when it mattered. A trio of top-eight finishes on the Palmetto Championship, Barbasol Championship (correlates effectively) and 3M Open have completed the trick. There is each motive to suppose he can preserve the run getting into superb conditions.
Armour’s stats learn like a dream for this. Fourth amongst these for driving accuracy over the previous yr, sixth for par-four birdies this season, 14th for proximity to the outlet. He hit over 72% of greens in regulation on six of his final eight begins.
Furthermore, he is obtained loads of Sedgefield pedigree, ending top-25 on his final 4 visits together with a pair of top-eights that might have yielded a spot return on these each-way phrases.
Finally from 141st place on the FedEx record, do not rule out a late cost from Rory Sabbatini. He would not be the primary to emerge from such cash record doldrums, and his final effort was vastly encouraging. It has been a grim yr however he very almost gained the Olympic gold medal from nowhere. He can definitely depend himself unfortunate not to have reached a play-off, after Xander Schauffele in some way held it collectively on the demise.
Now registered as Slovakian, the previously Canadian and South African veteran has a stack of earlier type at each right here and correlating tracks. Thrice top-eight in six makes an attempt at Sedgefield, eight top-25s from 12 at Harbour Town, third on the 2019 Rocket Mortgage Classic.
Even on this dire yr, Rory has been prolific on par-fours. He ranks fourth amongst these for birdies on par-fours – exactly what is required to get the job completed right here.
Webb Simpson a worthy favorite
I could not carry myself to tip an 11/1 probability each-way however, prohibitive as the chances sound, they’re completely truthful about Webb Simpson and would have landed an enormous revenue in previous years. A former champion, he is completed second or third within the final 4 renewals. A closing 64 on the St Jude bodes effectively for one other very sturdy bid.
Will Zalatoris was additionally very tempting at 25/1. He wants to win this so as to achieve a full PGA Tour card and qualify for subsequent week’s play-offs. His iron play is great, out of the highest drawer, and is extremely liable to reap dividends on this course at some stage. Again, he had a pleasant warm-up with eighth place in final week’s WGC occasion.
Also Doug Ghim ticked quite a lot of statistical containers, significantly third amongst these for proximity to the outlet. His finest effort of the season got here in a low scoring occasion, the American Express, and he is registered a couple of first rate top-20s of late to affirm wellbeing.