Distance fits Mount Ida
She has made a vivid begin over fences. I assumed her chasing debut in an honest newbie’s occasion at Cork was encouraging and she or he constructed on that to win a Grade 3 again at that observe early final month. There weren’t that many choices for her over longer journeys earlier within the season which is why she campaigned over two miles however I believe this kind of distance may be supreme for her. She is penalised for her Grade 3 success which will not make life straightforward however she is in good coronary heart and it’d simply assist her that she has had an excellent interval since she final ran. If she runs her race I’d hope that she is going to be proper there at the end.
Expecting higher regardless of Grade 1 penalty
We did not see the best of him within the Durkan Chase at Punchestown final time when he was a nicely held fourth behind Min and he appeared to be struggling a good distance from house in that race.
He is significantly better than he confirmed there so I’m hoping for higher regardless that he has to shoulder a Grade 1 penalty
. The floor could not be fairly as testing because it was in Punchestown and that would assist whereas at house he has been in good kind for the previous couple of weeks. I’m hoping to see him return to the promise he confirmed when successful a Grade 2 in good model at Down Royal again in November.
Drop in school fits Gun Digger
He has discovered issues powerful in some high quality handicap chases this season however a drop in school will assist him and this kind of journey is right, too. If you look again by way of his kind he does have the power to win a race like this and it would not shock me to see him bounce again though a glance at his kind would additionally let you know that he’s not probably the most dependable both. He is in good kind.
Track may not go well with Torygraph
It will be fascinating to see how he will get on right here as that is normally a fairly good race and it has a behavior of turning up first rate horses. He is a grand, trustworthy sort who stays very well and I believe we have seen that on each his runs over hurdles to date. He gained properly from a subsequent winner over this journey at Fairyhouse final month and the hope is that he can progress into an honest staying novice so I believe he’s lining up with a stable probability. Torygraph may simply be one that wishes a galloping observe to be seen at his best so whether or not Thurles will completely go well with him I would not be completely sure.
Stranger can higher bumper kind
He is beginning out over hurdles after two stable runs in bumpers, one among which got here at this observe. He was solely sixth final trip at Punchestown however ran higher than his remaining place would recommend and I at all times hoped he would make a greater jumper than a bumper horse. Stranger Danger has schooled nicely and appears to be in good kind so if he can overcome his lack of earlier leaping expertise I’d anticipate him to indicate up nicely.
Each-way probability in closing race
He has run two stable races in bumpers to date. He improved from his first run to his second run and I believe he’ll enhance once more. We most likely will not see the best of him till he goes leaping however the probability to race over simply wanting two-and-a-half miles will definitely work in his favour and I’d put him up as having an each-way probability.