Main Bet: Garrick Higgo each-way @ 35/1
My viewing of the conclusion of final week’s Austrian Golf Open had multiple focus of consideration.
On the one hand I used to be eager to see final week’s choice John Catlin affirm victory and, regardless of the valiant efforts of Max Kieffer, he fortunately got the job accomplished.
But, having accomplished my Sunday morning analysis forward of this week’s take a look at, I used to be additionally within the odd state of affairs of hoping Garrick Higgo would a) not peak too quickly, and b) not do sufficient to have his value clipped by the compilers.
Happily, I used to be happy on that rating, too.
Higgo performed nicely all week, bettering his rating with each lap (72-71-69-68) and would possibly simply have gone decrease on Sunday. He gave himself lots of appears at birdie, however the putter was a little chilly.
I believe that this week each the putter and Higgo will benefit from the hotter climes.
We do not have a lot to go on, however Meloneras Golf appears a very typical Iberian/island resort course – a fashionable design with no selection however to cope with an sometimes awkward plot of land, Bermuda grass, potential for blustery breezes, beautiful temperatures.
It’s a Ron Kirby design, the American who was head architect on the Gleneagles Centenary Course when he labored for the Jack Nicklaus workforce and who additionally had an involvement within the Gary Player format that usually hosts Sunshine Tour and European Tour occasions.
Notably, Meloneras has three par-5s and that was the primary gentle that went off relating to Higgo as a result of the 21-year-old South African leads this 12 months’s scoring averages on the quick holes.
But his case stretches additional than promising type and a fondness for the one regulation shot holes.
His first win on the Sunshine Tour? It got here within the Sun City Challenge in mid-2019 on the Gary Player course.
His first win in 2020? At Serengeti, a Jack Nicklaus Design observe, usually fashionable in its building of fairways and greens.
Just a few weeks later he claimed a first win on the European Tour – the place was it? At Royal Obidos, a traditional Iberian resort coastal observe within the Open de Portugal.
He additionally completed third within the Cyprus Open at Aphrodite Hills, one other course with a related kind of MO.
Nor was the fourth place final week a one off – it was his greatest end of the 12 months, however a fourth prime 20 in 5 begins.
I half-expected him to be priced within the decrease 20s so I’ll fortunately take 35/1. The left-hander is a excellent prospect and this take a look at appears ultimate for him.
Next Best: Jamie Donaldson each-way @ 50/1
Welshman Jamie Donaldson has loved one thing of a renaissance post-lockdown, ticking off at least 9 prime 20 finishes in eight months – keep in mind, it took him 4 and a half years to log his earlier 9.
His greatest outcomes amongst these latest efforts trace that this week is likely to be one other examination he enjoys.
He was second at Gary Player in December’s South African Open – and he additionally completed second there within the 2013 Nedbank Golf Challenge.
He was additionally third within the Cyprus Open despite the fact that a unhealthy again disrupted his last day hopes.
Despite that, he returned a week later to fly into the latter phases of the Cyprus Showdown because the low scorer, however tripped up within the last spherical shootout.
The 45-year-old will eternally be related to Gleneagles as a result of of his Ryder Cup-winning exploits, however at the same time as a person he favored the observe, ending third and sixth there.
He’s additionally simply at all times liked Iberian peninsula and island programs.
In Portugal he has three prime 10s at Dom Pedro, two at Oitavos Dunes, one at Quinta da Marinha and one other at Vale do Lobo.
In Spain he is got two prime 10s at Valderrama, and others at Hipica, Sevilla and Parador Malaga.
He’s not as robust as Higgo within the par-3 scoring, however he ranks thirty eighth this season and was 18th final 12 months.
Backing him is just not with out threat given his again points, however the warmth will assist.
I additionally like that his one 12 months scoring common ranks him sixth on this area and he is third during the last six months. Based on that, and a good probability he’ll just like the course, he is worth.
Final Bet: Calum Hill each-way @ 33/1
Not the longest value of the trio, however Scotsman Calum Hill is in improbable type.
Indeed, he is fourth behind Donaldson within the scoring averages during the last six months (Antoine Rozner is first, Kurt Kitayama second).
In his final 4 begins alone he has landed tied fourth within the Saudi International, then tied eighth and tied third within the two Kenyan tournaments.
In the latter he had a actual take a look at the win, by no means backed down from the problem and ought solely to be inspired the following time he finds himself in-contention.
Stretching a bit additional again, he boasts 5 prime 15 finishes in his final seven begins and I assumed, like Higgo, he’d be priced within the 20s so I’m content material to get extra.
The second of these latest prime 15s was T14th within the South African Open at Gary Player, a nice effort after he began the second spherical T114th.
I’m additionally fairly taken along with his effort within the Mauritius Open in late 2019.
At first look, he merely ticked off T17th, however he held a one-shot midway benefit and shared the 54-hole lead.
The Heritage Golf Club is likely to be plumb within the center of the Indian Ocean, however in lots of respects it is rather much like the type of golf he’ll face this week.
Throw in a prime 10 at Celtic Manor (5 par-3s like this week) and a rating of eighth for par-3 scoring this season, and the 26-year-old completes the week’s staking plan.