Fulham v Southampton
Saturday 26 December, 15:00
Live on Sky Sports
Still a great distance to go for Fulham
Fulham have actually improved in current weeks, they usually head into this fixture having misplaced simply one in every of their final 5 matches.
A change to three on the again in opposition to Leicester has labored the oracle for Scott Parker, as his workforce received that sport, and whereas they then misplaced at Man City, they’ve adopted it up with attracts in opposition to Liverpool, Brighton and Newcastle.
I do not anticipate to see too many modifications, if any, by Parker from the draw at St James’ Park. Aleksander Mitrovic ought to lead the road once more, and he’ll determined to rating, having not discovered the online for Fulham since September nineteenth.
European soccer an actual risk for Hasenhüttl’s aspect
The Saints misplaced solely their fourth sport of the season in opposition to Manchester City final weekend, however a defeat to Pep Guardiola’s males will be forgiven.
Prior to that that they had taken seven factors from fixtures with Brighton, Sheffield United and Arsenal. Away from dwelling Ralph Hasenhüttl’s males are unbeaten in 5 – together with victories at Aston Villa and Brighton.
Danny Ings got here off injured in opposition to Man City, and he’s solely rated as 50/50 for the journey to Craven Cottage. It is price noting although that Southampton coped high quality with out him earlier within the marketing campaign. Oriol Romeu is suspended.
The guests are the 2.47/5 favourites on the Betfair Exchange, with the draw at 3.45 and the house win buying and selling at across the 3.3512/5 mark.
Four weeks in the past, a Saints victory would have been a lot nearer to evens, or presumably even odds-on. Clearly Fulham have improved, however I simply cannot see previous the away win, on the costs.
The Cottagers performed nicely in opposition to Liverpool, however the Reds had been nowhere close to their finest that day, and I do not rank attracts in opposition to Brighton and Newcastle as that good kind.
Southampton have been scoring objectives for enjoyable on their travels, racking up 11 objectives throughout their final 5 away matches. Of be aware, Danny Ings scored simply three of these objectives, and one was a penalty.
When it comes to objectives, the Betfair Market is discovering it tough to determine between Over and Under 2.5 Goals.
Two objectives or fewer is the marginal favorite at 1.9110/11, with three or extra obtainable to again at 2.0421/20.
I’m undoubtedly leaning in direction of the Under for this fixture, and 1.9110/11 is a very reasonable value.
Fulham are at the moment on a run of 4 straight matches to finish with Under 2.5 backers accumulating, and the identical will be stated for Southampton’s final two.
Two of the Saints’ final three away from St Mary’s have completed 1-1, and three of the hosts’ final 4 on the Cottage have had two objectives or much less – together with a 0-0 draw most just lately.
James Ward-Prowse has had eight pictures on track in 14 Premier League appearances this season, and he’s 11/10 to have 1+ on Boxing Day.
If you mix the above with Under 2.5 Goals and a Southampton win, on the Betfair Sportsbook, you get a Same Game Multi that pays roughly 10/1. Remember – should you place a £10 Same Game Multi on any Premier League sport on Saturday or Sunday, you will get a £10 free wager to use on any Sportsbook market; T&Cs apply.
Key Opta Stat
Southampton have received three of their final 4 Premier League conferences with Fulham (L1), maintaining a clear sheet in every victory. Saints had received simply one in every of their first 10 video games in opposition to Fulham within the competitors (D6 L3), conceding in 9 of these 10 matches.