Maltese momentum is rising
In my first preview piece, I put up Malta as a guess in the Winner market at 4.77/2, and Destiny’s “Je Me Casse” has already are available to 3.953/1. I nonetheless imagine it’s price backing as a winner, so get on if you have not already.
The wonderful “10 Years” by Iceland is now out to 20.019/1 to win, and I simply assume that is too big a worth for an act that will have had an ideal likelihood of profitable the contest final yr if it had gone forward. At very least it is price contemplating as a again-to-lay.
For an evaluation of the high 5 entries in the market, in addition to a proof of the way it’s all going to work in Rotterdam, click on right here.
Ireland’s glory days are lengthy gone
We’ve travelled a good distance from the halcyon days of Johnny Logan celebrating like he’d scored the winner in the FA Cup last, as he was topped as Eurovision champion not as soon as however twice. Linda Martin’s “Why Me?” is a distant reminiscence, and since then we have been made to sit by way of efforts from Jedward (twice), Dustin the Turkey and quite a lot of forgettable musical flotsam in-between.
The seven-time winners have misplaced the golden contact, and even the lustre of Westlife alumnus Nicky Byrne wasn’t sufficient to snare a Grand Final spot in 2016. Ireland have made the last simply as soon as since 2013, and so they’ve solely made the high ten twice since 2000. To be honest to Jedward, they did put up a high-eight end in 2011, however “Lipstick” will not precisely go down as one in all the all-time greats.
So what of the newest entry from singer-songwriter Lesley Roy? I believe after years of disappointing efforts, “Maps” has the high quality to attain the Grand Final. The music video model is simply too industrially produced, however I believe when it is pared down to Lesley’s voice on the stay stage, this can transmit very well. It’s uplifting, and it stays in your head lengthy after you have first heard it.
Ireland have been drawn in a tricky semi-last, however the query we should ask ourselves is whether or not this could sneak into the high ten at odds of 2.588/5. I believe it’s going to be tight, however 2.588/5 appears fairly a chunky worth to me in the To Qualify market.
Will Embers catch fireplace?
Having been denied the likelihood to compete final yr, singer-songwriter James Newman is again for one more try at restoring the UK’s tattered Eurovision status. You can put it down to Brexit-based in poor health feeling should you like, however the UK’s poor performances lately have actually been down due to poor tune-alternative and acts that both lack expertise or star high quality.
To give Newman his due, he has received a Brit Award for songwriting (he co-wrote a success for Rudimental and Ella Eyre), and “Embers” would not be misplaced on UK pop radio these days. It’s acquired hook, the vocals are first rate, and I believe it is the greatest entry the UK has despatched for a decade. Whether that interprets into votes stays to be seen, however we should not be speaking about Nul Points or Last Place or something like that. We want a bit extra liquidity in the market, however we could take a look at the Top 15 market nearer the time. Remember, the UK are assured a Grand Final spot as one in all the Big Five.