Royal Challengers Bangalore v Kolkata Knight Riders
Sunday, 11:00 BST
Live on Sky Sports Cricket
After solely two rounds of the league, RCB are the final group with a 100% file. They’re right down to second favourites to win the title. Could 2021, lastly, be Virat Kohli’s yr?
There’s little cause to query it on what we have seen thus far. Their batting appears to be like higher than ever with a beefed up middle-order and the times when their bowling was a ruinous weak spot are historical past. Especially, it appears, at in the present day’s floor.
RCB bowlers thriving at this floor
Both wins got here at this M A Chidambaram Stadium, primarily as a result of they bowled so properly, with Harshal Patel, Shabhaz Ahmed and Mohammed Siraj taking ten wickets for 120 runs.
KKR additionally performed each of their matches at Chennai – beating Sunrisers by ten runs earlier than shedding to Mumbai by the identical margin. The latter was nothing in need of a disaster. At one stage they wanted 70 off 67 balls with all ten wickets remaining.
In-play excessive unders bets paying off
Well completed to anyone who laid them at properly beneath 1.11/10 in-running – the extremity of the collapse was unlikely, but it surely wasn’t completely unpredictable. In each match right here at this floor thus far, scoring slowed up dramatically in the late overs.
In the primary match, bets had been landed above 100/1 on Mumbai failing to achieve 160. In the second, KKR scored 187 after wanting set for 200 plus. The third noticed that collapse to Mumbai and in the fourth, Sunrisers had been turned over at even shorter odds chasing 150.
Even small targets proving problematic
Follow the development and go unders on runs, late in the primary innings, then look to put the chasing facet in the event that they go quick odds-on.
It is tough to foretell precisely the place these odds will probably be however, as a information in the final match, 43 or extra off the final 5 first innings overs was out there to put at 1.422/5.
The 1st Innings Runs line may properly be beneath 160 for the primary time in the match – 12 of the final 20 first innings right here completed beneath. Plus this can be a used pitch, providing much more help for spinners.
Rather, subsequently, than recommending a pre-innings wager, do this in-play technique. Place an order to put 165 or extra at 1.75/7. That line went shorter in all 4 first innings thus far.
If comparable circumstances do materialise, it’s onerous to dispute the market evaluation that RCB are 1.84/5 favourites. Their bowlers look a lot likelier to include.
Batting first appears a bonus
As typical it makes little sense to play the match odds pre-match. The toss presents one thing of a conundrum. The stats say batting first is a bonus but, as in each match, the toss winners opted to chase.
Considering he is positive to play and to bowl on the dying, in what have been extraordinarily troublesome circumstances to bat, Russell is honest worth at 4/1 to be Top KKR wicket-taker.
Sixes line is normally too excessive
Keep a watch on the Total Sixes line too – they’re comparatively skinny on the bottom at Chennai. Ten or fewer had been hit in 14 of the final 20 matches right here, and in six of the final seven. That ten or beneath line was buying and selling round 4.03/1 in the sooner matches.
There are two vital #Oddsboosts on provide. Kohli is 12/5 to be Top RCB Runscorer and Nitish Rana is 7/2 to top-score for the third straight match for KKR.
Follow Paul on Twitter @paulmotty