Chelsea v Manchester City
Sunday 03 January, 16:30
Live on Sky Sports Main Event
Blues’ boss a sufferer of his personal success
No-one can deny that Chelsea have been an extremely profitable membership within the twenty first century, however a boom-and-bust method to administration has been the central strand that has run by means of their current historical past. Jose Mourinho, maybe the Blues’ most iconic supervisor, was sacked not as soon as however twice. Robert Di Matteo was jettisoned simply months after delivering the membership’s solely Champions League success, Carlo Ancelotti did the double in his first marketing campaign however was dismissed on the finish of his second, and Maurizio Sarri secured a top-three end and the Europa League however then jumped to Juventus earlier than he was pushed.
Those fluctuations make it troublesome to construct a long-term mission, they usually imply that whereas excessive exterior and inner expectations aren’t met, the finger of blame springs in direction of the supervisor. Club legend Frank Lampard must be insulated greater than most, and he certified for the Champions League and reached the FA Cup remaining in his first marketing campaign, however a poor run of kind has set tongues wagging.
At the beginning of December, there was hushed discuss of a title push, and Chelsea had secured high spot of their Champions League group. A run of two league wins in six, together with an abject 3-1 reverse at Arsenal, has seen that title discuss look untimely. However, the Blues have solely misplaced 4 of their 16 league video games, and going into this weekend solely Liverpool had scored extra objectives. The addition of goalkeeper Edouard Mendy and defensive behemoth Thiago Silva have tightened Chelsea up generally, and though there appears to be a maddening desperation for Timo Werner and Kai Havertz to adapt to the Premier League with a click on of the finger, their monitor information recommend they’re going to come good.
Right-back Reece James is battling a hamstring damage, however Thiago Silva ought to return, and the influential and Hakim Ziyech might make his first look because the win over Leeds.
COVID outbreak has hit City laborious
We know that Manchester City duo Kyle Walker and Gabriel Jesus will miss the journey to Stamford Bridge after constructive COVID-19 exams, and City have confirmed that three additional gamers have been dominated out for a similar cause. The virus brought on the postponement of City’s journey to Everton, and has probably disrupted their preparations. COVID-19 is such an enormous think about our on a regular basis lives, and it is simple to slide into placing in on the identical degree as a hamstring tear or an ankle twist, however it is a lethal illness, so there is a psychological toll concerned too.
There’s little question that City are on the cost after a sluggish begin to the season. They have gained 4 and drawn two of their final six PL video games, they stormed into the semi-finals of the League Cup they usually comfortably gained their Champions League group. However, there is no getting away from the truth that they battle on the highway in opposition to the massive hitters. This time period they’ve drawn 0-0 at Manchester United and misplaced 2-0 at Tottenham. Last season, of their 5 away video games in opposition to different members of the highest six, they misplaced 4 and had simply the one victory at Leicester City. They scored simply three objectives and conceded 9. On their final two visits to Stamford Bridge, they’ve misplaced 2-1 and 2-0.
Chelsea can keep away from defeat
City’s report away to elite sides has been dismal for properly over a 12 months now, and though they’ve a superb squad, shedding 5 gamers to COVID-19 is certain to have an effect on them. Chelsea have misplaced simply certainly one of their final 14 residence video games within the league, and for the discuss of their fragility, they’ve saved seven clear sheets in that run.
I’ll use the Sportsbook’s Same Game Multi (see supply under) to again Chelsea/Draw Double Chance and Under 3.5 Goals at mixed odds of 2.245/4. Just three of City’s final 15 PL away video games have featured greater than three objectives.
If you need to keep away from getting concerned within the Match Odds and need to persist with objectives, Under 2.5 Goals is value a have a look at 2.1411/10. That wager has landed in City’s final six top-flight away video games, and in 5 of their final seven journeys to top-six sides.
Giroud value backing if Lampard picks him
My consideration was drawn to a unprecedented statistic this week. Purely when it comes to Expected Goals per 90 minutes, Olivier Giroud is essentially the most environment friendly participant within the Premier League primarily based on 2020’s stats, and he’s solely simply forward of Chelsea team-mate Tammy Abraham. Giroud had an xG per 90 determine of 0.71 in 2020, and he’s presently on stellar kind. He netted all 4 objectives in a 4-0 win at Sevilla within the Champions League, he has scored in 5 of his final eight appearances in all competitions, and he has discovered the online in his final two PL appearances at Stamford Bridge.
If Giroud begins, he’s value backing within the To Score market at a hefty 2/1 on the Sportsbook.