Originally referred to as the Dallas Open, the very first AT&T Byron Nelson Championship was received by the person who the occasion is now named after, in 1944.
As a measure of how huge a event this as soon as was, Sam Snead and Ben Hogan received the following two editions and the likes of Jack Nicklaus, Tom Watson, Fred Couples and Payne Stewart all took the title within the Nineteen Seventies and 80s. A 3 yr spell within the mid-90s noticed Ernie Els, Phil Mickelson and Tiger Woods victorious and for the reason that flip of the century, main winners Vijay Singh, Adam Scott, Jason Day, Jason Dufner and Sergio Garcia have all additionally received however the event began to lose a little bit of it is lustre when it moved TPC Four Seasons – a venue unpopular with lots of the execs.
The event switched to Trinity Forest in 2018 however after simply two editions there, the event is on the transfer once more, this time to TPC Craig Ranch in McKinney, 25 miles north of Dallas.
World primary, Dustin Johnson, has been pressured to withdraw with an uncomfortable knee, however with the likes of Jon Rahm, Bryson DeChambeau and Jordan Spieth within the line-up, the brand new venue has attracted a good discipline forward of subsequent week’s USPGA Championship.
TPC Craig Ranch, McKinney, Texas
Par 72 7,468 yards
Designed by Tom Weiskopf and opened in 2004, TPC Craig Ranch has minimal tough, beneficiant zoysiagrass fairways and bentgrass greens which are anticipated to run at round 11.5 on the stimpmeter. That’s not overly quick however we’re in Texas to allow them to’t be set too speedily in case the wind will get up.
Water is a continuing function with Rowlett Creek criss-crossing the course quite a few instances.
Although that is the primary time that TPC Craig Ranch options on the PGA Tour, it has been used a few instances on the Korn Ferry Tour for the Korn Ferry Tour Championship in each 2008 and 2012.
Craig Ranch performed as a par 71 on the Korn Ferry Tour with the twelfth gap taking part in as a troublesome par 4. It will likely be performed as a par 5 this week.
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Last Five Winners with Pre-event Exchange Prices
2019 – Sung-Hoon Kang -23 180.0179/1
2018 – Aaron Wise -23 80.079/1
2017 – Billy Horschel -12 (playoff) 200.0199/1
2016 – Sergio Garcia -15 (playoff) 30.029/1
2015 – Steven Bowditch -18 (par 69 rounds 3, 4 & 5) 500.0499/1
What Will it Take to Win the Byron Nelson Championship?
It’s by no means simple after we go to a brand-new venue however we do at the least have a few outcomes to ponder so listed below are the leaderboards with stats for the 2 editions of the Korn Ferry Championship held right here.
2008 Korn Ferry Championship
1st Matt Bettencourt -17 DD eighth, DA thirty ninth, GIR twelfth, SC seventeenth, PA 1st
2nd Jeff Klauk -16 DD thirty first, DA 4th, GIR nineteenth, SC 1st, PA twelfth
T3rd Colt Knost -15 DD twenty eighth, DA 2nd, GIR 2nd, SC fifth, PA twenty seventh
T3rd Bryce Molder -15 DD twenty fifth, DA eleventh, GIR third, SC tenth, PA eighth
fifth Peter Tomasulo -14 DD twenty fourth, DA twentieth, GIR sixth, SC thirty eighth, PA seventeenth
2012 Korn Ferry Championship
1st Justin Bolli -16 DD forty third, DA forty eighth, GIR 4th, SC thirty ninth, PA sixth
2nd James Hahn -14 DD 14th, DA fifteenth, GIR eleventh, SC fifth, PA 1st
T3rd Adam Hadwin -13 DD twenty fourth, DA fifteenth, GIR eleventh, SC 1st, PA ninth
T3rd Morgan Hoffman -13 DD seventh, DA nineteenth, GIR eleventh, SC eleventh, PA 1st
fifth Justin Hicks -12 DD twenty eighth, DA 2nd, GIR 1st, SC forty seventh, PA eighth
DD = Driving Distance
DA = Driving Accuracy
GIR = Greens In Regulation
SC = Scrambling
PA = Putting Average
It seems to be like we will ignore the driving metrics with neither size nor accuracy proving key in 2008 or 2012 and crucial stat seems to be Greens In Regulation.
Just trying on the two top-fives above present that correct strategy play was necessary however it’s much more apparent trying on the expanded leaderboards. Kyle Reifers completed tied for eleventh when rating first for GIR in 2008 and in 2012, the ten gamers to rank contained in the top-ten for GIR all completed contained in the top-18 locations.
It may not be sensible to present these figures an excessive amount of credence however each leaderboards had been affected by correct varieties.
With a lot of contenders hitting 80% of greens, it is no shock to see that placing was additionally key and with higher calibre gamers and an extra par 5 to go at, if the wind is not too unhealthy this week, and it is not forecasted to be robust till Sunday, we will count on to see the winner attain at the least 20-under-par and the occasion grow to be one thing of a placing contest.
Is There an Identikit Winner?
Texans often fare effectively of their residence state and they’ve an impressive document within the Valero Texas Open (received final month by Jordan Spieth) however they do not have a robust latest document on this explicit occasion.
Overseas gamers have a robust document within the event although and solely 9 of the 20 winners this century have been American however it’s the Australians that deserve most respect.
Aussies all the time are likely to do effectively in windy Texas and we have seen three latest winners within the form of Adam Scott, Jason Day and Steven Bowditch in addition to two seconds. In addition to profitable the 2001 version, Day was crushed in further time in 2017 and Marc Leishman completed second to Aaron Wise in 2018.
Great Event for Outsiders
Sergio Garcia is the one latest winner that is been fairly-well fancied, going off at 30.029/1, and this has been a terrific event for longshots with six of the final seven winners all being matched at a triple-figure worth earlier than the off.
Aaron Wise solely went off at 80.079/1 three years in the past however he was well-supported having been matched for many at between 100.099/1 and 120.0119/1 and the opposite 5 went off at large odds.
I’ve listed the trade costs for the final 5 winners above however the two winners previous to Steven Bowditch in 2015 each went off at juicy odds too. Brendan Todd was 170.0169/1 probability in 2014 and Sang-Moon Bae was a largely unconsidered 200.0199/1 probability 12 months earlier.
Keep an Eye on the Market for Next Week
Rory McIlroy’s worth for subsequent week’s USPGA Championship shortened dramatically throughout final week’s Wells Fargo Championship and after his one-stroke victory over Abraham Ancer at Quail Hollow, he is now the agency favorite for the yr’s second main.
Whether the likes of DeChambeau, Rahm or Spieth can problem Rory for favouritism with a robust week in Texas is debatable however anybody that contends strongly right here will shorten up significantly so maintaining a tally of the USPGA Championship market is sensible.
Matt Bettencourt was 4 off the lead after rounds one and two right here in 2008 however he was by no means outdoors the top-ten locations and he was tied for the lead with a spherical to.
It was an identical story 4 years later when Boli received from two again after three rounds, having led after spherical one and having been contained in the entrance three locations all week.
Low scoring birdie-fests are likely to go well with frontrunners, so it is sensible to focus on the leaders from early on however do control the climate forecast. At this early stage, Sunday seems to be like being the breeziest day of the week and that will open the occasion up a bit if it does get blowy.
Looking on the course set-up, the front-nine seems to be extra scorable than the back-nine however we’ll know far more as soon as the event will get underway.
The market is struggling to separate the world quantity three, Jon Rahm, and the world quantity 4, Bryson DeChambeau, after each put in underwhelming performances on the Wells Fargo final week.
Rahm, who might be a bit distracted after turning into a father for the primary time final month, missed his first minimize in 22 begins and DeChambeau thought he had. He flew residence to Texas after posted a two-over par complete after spherical two however he needed to fly again to North Carolina the following morning when that transpired to be sufficient to make the weekend.
Back-to-back 68s noticed him climb up into the top-ten so he discovered a little bit of kind however he does not have an awesome document in his residence state and I’m glad to swerve him.
Rahm is very prone to refocus and enhance forward of subsequent week’s main and with Texas kind figures studying 2-10-2-52-5-24-MC-MC-5, he has higher state kind than the native man rivalling him for favouritism. If I needed to plump for one it might be the Spaniard however neither make a lot attraction.
Jordan Spieth made his PGA Tour debut on this occasion when ending sixteenth method again in 2010. He has an awesome document in his residence state with 11 top-10s, together with two wins, 4 seconds and a 3rd however he is but to higher that sixteenth on this occasion in eight subsequent efforts.
Well-rested after his win within the Texas Open and his third positioned end on the US Masters, it is a job to know the way he’ll play this week and I’m glad to swerve him on the worth.
I’ll be again tomorrow with at the least two choices for the Find Me a 100 Winner column however for now I’ve bought simply two – Brooks Koepka and Marc Leishman.
We have not seen Brooks since he missed the minimize on the US Masters when he rushed again after knee surgical procedure. There’s an apparent probability that he is solely right here to check the knee forward of subsequent week’s USPGA Championship, a significant he is already bagged twice earlier than, but when he is OK and his recreation is again so as, he seems to be an awesome match.
Koepka performs TPC Southwind brilliantly and that is one of many few tracks encountered with zoysiagrass fairways so whereas a variety of the professionals moan concerning the floor, believing it may produce the odd flier, Brooks simply will get on with it.
He’s greater than able to going low in a birdie-fest and his latest document in Texas is excellent, studying 2-9-2-50-2-55-4-32-5.
There’s a hazard he isn’t fairly proper but when he’s, I can see him contending given how effectively he was taking part in earlier than the damage. His thirty eighth within the Genesis Invitational was disappointing however that was bookended by a second win on the Phoenix Open and a second within the WGC Workday Championship.
I’m just a little stunned to see Marc Leishman buying and selling at as huge as 40.039/1 as I can not see a single detrimental.
The 37-year-old Aussie has Texas kind, course kind, occasion kind, present kind, profitable kind in low scoring occasions and even kind at TPC Southwind with it is zoysiagrass fairways. He seems to be an awesome guess.
Leishman matched the Korn Ferry Tour document (then the Nationwide Tour) when profitable the WNB Golf Classic by 11 strokes in Texas in 2008 and he is had an affinity with the windy state ever since. He completed eighth at this course within the 2008 version of the Korn Ferry Championship and he has Byron Nelson Championship kind figures that learn 8-12-MC-3-12-3-MC-MC-13-2.
Leishman arrives in McKinney on the again of a win alongside fellow Aussie, Cameron Smith, within the Zurich Classic, following a superb fifth on the US Masters, the place he ranked 14th for Putting Average, so he is bang in kind. He bought to 20-under-par when getting beat by Aaron Wise on this occasion in 2018 and he usually involves the fore when the scoring is ultra-low. He received the BMW Championship with a 23-under-par complete in 2017 and the CIMB Classic in -26 a yr later – profitable each by 5 strokes. And lastly, he was third behind Koepka at TPC Southwind in 2019.
He will not thoughts if the wind does stand up on Sunday and I believe he is a cracking guess at 40.039/1.
*You can comply with me on Twitter @SteveThePunter