Jamie Vardy to attain in Christmas cracker
Leicester vs Manchester United
Goalscorer: Jamie Vardy to attain anytime @ 1/1
Jamie Vardy is proving age is a only a quantity at Leicester City, displaying no indicators of regression at 33-years-old and nonetheless boasting a devastating flip of foot. After Leicester’s 2-0 away win at Tottenham (xG: TOT 1.0 – 1.9 LEI), through which Vardy transformed from the spot to open the scoring, the Foxes discover themselves simply 4 factors behind league leaders Liverpool.
Unsurprisingly, Vardy has performed an instrumental position in that success, recording an impressive 1.0 xG/avg match this season, and he’ll be keen so as to add to his rising tally on Boxing Day. Only Mohamed Salah (13) has extra targets than Vardy (11) this time period, and his electrical tempo may show to be a deadly asset in opposition to Manchester United’s ponderous again line.
Carded: Harry Maguire to be booked @ 3/1
With Harry Maguire returning to his outdated membership, it appears a smart play to facet with him to obtain a warning. In the guts of United’s defence, Maguire is a assured starter, though he is really made extra fouls (15) than tackles (14) this season. This calamitous report is certain to be examined up in opposition to Vardy, and it will be comprehensible if Maguire was issued his fourth yellow card of the marketing campaign on Saturday afternoon.
Same Game Multi: Man United win, BTTS and Vardy to attain anytime @ 7.86
Although Leicester have misplaced to Fulham and Everton of their final 5 fixtures, their underlying numbers from throughout these run of video games are greater than respectable (1.5 xGF and 1.2 xGA per sport). They ought to make for difficult opponents right here, though worryingly each of these beforehand talked about defeats did come on the King Power Stadium.
Manchester United head into this conflict on the again of ruthlessly dismantling Leeds final weekend, in an enthralling sport at Old Trafford (xG: MUN 4.2 – 2.1 LEE). However, it is really on the highway that the Red Devils have exceeded expectations, profitable all 10 of their final away visits within the Premier League.
They’ve created a wholesome charge of alternatives when taking part in away this marketing campaign, averaging 2.1 xGF per sport, and they should not have an issue discovering the again of the online on this Christmas cracker. They can edge this contest, however it will be silly to assume Jamie Vardy will not trigger them issues.
Tammy Abraham to search out the again of the online once more
Arsenal vs Chelsea
Goalscorer: Tammy Abraham to attain anytime @ 17/10
Frank Lampard wasn’t afraid of constructing a splash within the switch market this summer season, bringing an array of stars to Stamford Bridge. Timo Werner was one of many world’s most wanted forwards, and the German arrived upon British shores with a lofty status.
However, there is not any denying he is presently struggling in entrance of purpose for Chelsea, and Werner has now gone 9 matches with out scoring in all competitions, squandering probabilities equating to three.6 xG throughout that interval.
Consequently, Tammy Abraham’s quickfire double (54%, 35%) in opposition to West Ham would have been a well timed increase for Lampard, with the 23-year-old as soon as once more impressively seizing his probability when handed a begin. With the Blues persistently carving out high quality goalscoring alternatives (1.9 xGF pg) this time period, Abraham could make his presence felt on the Emirates.
Carded: Dani Ceballos to be booked @ 3/1
It’s not an understatement to say Arsenal are underneath siege for the time being, and petulance has been creeping into their fixtures, maybe as tensions rise and frustrations with poor outcomes floor. Dani Ceballos has tried 34 tackles in Arsenal’s midfield, though he has made 11 fouls, which means round one in each three challenges he makes the referee will blow the whistle.
Consequently, the Spaniard has already obtained two yellow playing cards this season, and going through a dynamic Chelsea midfield right here, he may obtain one other warning.
Same Game Multi: The draw and BTTS @ 4.3100/30
Things have gone from unhealthy to worse for Mikel Arteta at Arsenal, with the Gunners slumping to yet one more disappointing defeat at Everton final weekend (xG: EVE 0.9 – 1.4 ARS). Without Nicolas Pepe’s transformed penalty, they mustered simply 0.6 non-penalty xG in that conflict, delivering one other toothless attacking show.
On a constructive word, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang must be again in competition for this sport in opposition to Chelsea, and after ending his barren run, he can present Arsenal with the focus they’ve so desperately craved in assault. Chelsea have developed into formidable opposition this season (1.9 xGF and 0.9 xGA pg), although, and they will be assured of gathering the three factors on this all London affair.
Despite their severely underwhelming outcomes, Arsenal have conceded a median of 1.3 xGA per sport, and that ought to guarantee this sport must be tighter than some markets recommend, and I imagine the factors might be shared.
Roberto Firmino can notch previous struggling West Brom
Liverpool vs West Ham
Goalscorer: Roberto Firmino rating anytime @ 13/10
Roberto Firmino scored a brace final weekend, as Liverpool stylishly beat Crystal Palace 7-0 at Selhurst Park (xG: CRY 0.5 – 2.8 LIV). It was an exhibition of excellent ending from the champions, and Firmino took his tally to 5 for the marketing campaign. He has the right alternative so as to add one other purpose on Sunday, with struggling West Brom visiting Anfield.
The Baggies have conceded a median of two.1 xGA per sport, no workforce within the league has conceded extra, and they’ve merely seemed abysmal in defence. While Sam Allardyce is now on the helm at West Brom, this sport will doubtless come too quickly for him to have any quantifiable influence. Furthermore, Firmino (0.5 xG/avg match) is seemingly the wise wager on this market on the costs, providing a greater various to Mohamed Salah and Sadio Mane, who’re each priced up at across the 8/15 mark.
Carded: Conor Gallagher to be booked @ 5/2
West Brom look set to endure waves of Liverpool stress, and it is subsequently a good assumption to make that they will commit quite a few fouls because the hosts look to probe their susceptible defence. Conor Gallagher leads the way in which on the membership for yellow playing cards obtained this season (4), and after making an attempt 61 tackles this time period, it seems doubtless he may catch the official’s eye once more right here.
Same Game Multi: Liverpool win, over 2.5 targets and Firmino to attain anytime @ 2.727/4
Liverpool have suffered accidents to key gamers this season, and they nonetheless sit on the high of the league, frighteningly but to succeed in first gear. Their attacking underlying numbers, averaging 2.2 xGF per sport, are firmly amongst Europe’s most elite, and solely Bayern Munich (39) have really scored extra targets than the Reds this season from the continent’s high 5 leagues. Under Jurgen Klopp, Liverpool are really a pressure to be reckoned with, and contemplating West Brom’s woeful numbers (0.7 xGF and 2.1 xGA pg), they need to comfortably dispatch the guests on Merseyside.