The US PGA Championship returns to the Ocean Course, Kiawah Island, this week, the place Rory McIlroy romped to victory 9 years in the past. And there is not any higher technique to put together your self than by studying Steve Rawlings’ in-depth preview forward of Thursday’s begin.
Steve says: “As an Open Champion with a victory in the Travelers at the Pete Dye designed TPC River Highlands, Jordan Spieth should take to Kiawah Island like a duck to water but there are a couple of negatives.
“Since ending third on the US Masters he is contracted Covid and so he is missed a couple of weeks of preparation however the primary purpose I’m reluctant to aspect with him is that that is the key he wants to finish the Grand Slam and that may deliver important added stress.
“Justin Thomas has lost his way slightly after his off the pace success at the Players, failing to progress out of the group at the WGC Match Play before producing form figures reading 21-13-26 and Dustin Johnson hasn’t been firing since he won the US Masters in November.
“I backed Alex Noren over the weekend as he put in a problem in Texas and I’ve backed a pair more large outsiders which I am going into element on within the Find Me a 100 Winner column however my solely different choose is the world quantity 9, Tyrrell Hatton, who ticks each single field aside from red-hot current type.
“The Englishman is a quite brilliant links exponent (won back-to-back Dunhill Links Championships), he won the Abu Dhabi Championship in January, he has form on paspalum (Saudi International) and he finished third at the RBC Heritage last year at the Pete Dye designed Harbour Town.”
Dave Tindall has three each-way alternatives for the US PGA Championship so discover out who he is backing on the 12 months’s second Major.
Dave says: “At 45/1 Tyrrell Hatton could represent outstanding value as he seeks his first Major title. So far, his Major career has been somewhat curious. After a T25 in this event in 2015, the following year he defied expectations by finishing T5 in the Open Championship and T10 in the US PGA.
“In 2017 he missed the minimize in all 4 however hit again in 2018 with T6 on the US Open and one other T10 within the US PGA. For the second season operating he made the minimize in all 4 in 2019 and rounded off with T6 on the Open Championship. However, then got here one other dud 12 months, with three MCs out of three in 2020.
“The main negative in a Majors career that clearly had big moments of promise was his Masters record: up until this year his results read MC-44-T56-MC. That was unusually poor for a player who had climbed into the top echelons.
“Thankfully, a nook was turned this time and final month he battled away to complete T18: not a tremendous efficiency on one degree however fairly a breakthrough on one other. That mentioned, his greatest Majors are the Open Championship and the US PGA as 4 of his 5 high 10s have are available these. The different was that US Open high 10 which got here at links-style Shinnecock.
“So, if only he could get to play a US PGA by the coast. That would be perfect right? Well, Hatton is granted that wish this week: welcome to the 2021 US PGA, played on the Ocean Course at Kiawah Island Golf Resort.”
Dave’s wager: Back Tyrrell Hatton E/W @ 46.045/1
Sporting Life’s Ben Coley: Big Phil a sporting wager in battle of previous champions
Delighted to have the ideas of Ben Coley from our associates at Sporting Life forward of the USPGA and he is bought his eye on a veteran operator for his choice for B.B.
Ben says: “Backing Phil Mickelson with confidence in any market isn’t really possible any more, but there’s definite value in taking him to be the top former winner.
“Rory McIlroy and Justin Thomas fairly rightly dominate the market, however then we have Collin Morikawa, who faces the large activity of defending his title. He’s risen to most challenges thus far however suffered a post-PGA lull final 12 months and a equally low-key efficiency right here would not shock me.
“With Brooks Koepka plainly not fit, Keegan Bradley into what appears to be a very skinny price and Jason Day playing poorly, we get to 25/1 shot Mickelson as one of the handful of realistic options to upstage those above him in the betting.
“Mickelson has been taking part in fairly properly, although. He began in blistering style at Quail Hollow, defied a sluggish begin for twenty fifth within the Masters, stuffed the identical spot within the Honda and was higher than he often is at Sawgrass. Two missed cuts each got here with second-round 69s and there’s been a whole lot of great things in amongst the odd disaster.
“He’ll have to avoid big numbers here but played reasonably when mid-pack in 2012, producing his best golf during the worst of the weather on Friday, and he’ll be buoyed by receiving a special invite to the US Open next month. Generally strong with his approaches and with the putter firing, he’s capable of a top-20 finish and should he manage it, we won’t need much help to at least land the place part (paying at a quarter the odds, first three).
“Certainly, he seems too near Martin Kaymer and Jason Dufner within the betting and something larger than 14/1 is sweet worth for a small, speculative play in a market which comprises loads of deadwood. Mickelson says the one factor lacking is focus, and Kiawah Island ought to maintain his consideration.”
Our European Tour tipster Matt Cooper has three European participant each-way alternatives for the US PGA Championship with the Betfair Sportsbook paying 10 locations.
Matt says: “First up for my bets is the 2012 winner of the Portugal Masters at Dom Pedro, the Irishman Shane Lowry.
“In addition to enjoying that track he’s also always thrived in Spain and has four top 20s at Valderrama, including a fourth and second.
“What about his type this season? His two high ten finishes got here at TPC Sawgrass and Harbour Town (he was additionally third there in 2019) and what have they got in frequent? Both Dye designs.
“Don’t overlook his T21st at the Masters, either – it was his best effort there. If it’s windy, as it tends to be, the 2019 Open champion is likely to enjoy that factor rather than fear it, and he’s had plenty of practice on Paspalum grass since he joined The Bear’s Club in Florida.”
Matt’s wager: Shane Lowry each-way @ 51.050/1
Matt Cooper gives a information to the main gamers chasing Major glory at Kiawah Island this week.
What Matt says in regards to the favorite: “If Rory McIlroy can go from averaging 76.00 for the five strokeplay rounds ahead of Quail Hollow to victory there and also here this week (what would be a first major triumph in nearly seven years), it would be one of the great form transformations and unquestionably a career-defining effort.
“Once a Pete Dye course sceptic, McIlroy explains: ‘I turned a nook at Whistling Straits in 2010. I hated it, however instructed myself to embrace it. I completed one shot exterior the playoff and since then I’ve received at Kiawah (by a mammoth seven photographs), Crooked Stick and Sawgrass. I’ve began to fairly like them.’ Beware his nemesis, excessive wind, on this week’s coastal observe.”
Dave Tindall takes a close look at the make-up of the last 10 US PGA winners to see which player is most likely to lift the Wanamaker Trophy in 2021.
Dave says: “One of the important thing pointers for this occasion is that the majority winners had posted a victory earlier that season and Collin Morikawa added to that development final 12 months.
“Morikawa had captured the Workday Charity Open just three starts before winning the US PGA. He also continued a trend for this being the best Major for players aged under 30.”
“Bryson DeChambeau is 27-years-old and won the Arnold Palmer Invitational in March. He’s world number four, was tied fourth at Harding Park last year and posted tied ninth at Wells Fargo before teeing it up in the AT&T Byron Nelson so is guaranteed to have a top 20 in one of his last two starts. He’s not won the event before and has played in it just four times previously.
This year’s venue, Kiawah Island, measures in at a record-breaking 7,876 yards. The game’s longest hitter winning at the longest course in major championship history would certainly make for some pleasing symmetry.”
Dave’s wager (based mostly on 10 12 months traits): Back Bryson DeChambeau to win at 16.015/1
Steve Rawlings has trawled the stats in quest of a monster-priced winner at this week’s USPGA Championship and high of his record is Si Woo Kim. Read who else makes the group and who got here shut…
Steve says: “Having celebrated his 30th birthday in November, world number 40, Max Homa, doesn’t quite tick all four boxes but I’m more than happy to overlook that slight misdemeanour and I really like his chances, despite a missed cut last time out…
“Homa’s weekend off on the Wells Fargo Championship two weeks in the past will be very simply forgiven. He’d received the occasion two years earlier so given the event was cancelled in 2020, he had the stress of being the defending champion, and that was simply days after a disappointing remaining spherical on the Valspar Championship.
“Homa had entered the final round at the ultra-tough Copperhead track trailing by a stroke but a 74 on Sunday saw him slip to sixth. That could be construed as a negative but he was tied for the lead at the American Express (won by Kim) in January before a poor final round saw him fall outside the top-20 and he picked himself up after that to win the Genesis Invitational four starts later.
“Both Homa’s wins have come at robust tracks (Quail Hollow and Riviera) which have staged main championships and he is a participant that is been missed this week. He’s a wonderful putter and I like his probabilities at odds in extra of 200.0199/1.”
Check out the present type of these teeing-up at Kiawah Island as Andy Swales goes in-depth on the newest key stats and gives some historical past to point out that this hasn’t been a cheerful looking floor for Americans.
Andy says: “Since America triumphed at the 1991 Ryder Cup, this has generally been an unlucky venue for US golfers.
“In 1997, when the World Cup of Golf was staged right here, the event was received by Ireland, with Scotland runners-up. Colin Montgomerie received the person occasion whereas the United States, represented by Justin Leonard and Davis Love, joined forces to complete third.
“Leonard and Love had both won Majors that year, but were unable to prevent European golfers from occupying the top four positions in the individual competition.
“Six years later the World Cup of Golf returned to Kiawah and was received by South Africa. England, France and Germany got here subsequent, with the hosts – represented by Jim Furyk and Leonard – ending in a tie for fifth, alongside Ireland. The format had modified by then, and there was no particular person occasion.”