Manchester United v Leicester
Tuesday May 11, 18:00
Manchester United’s 5 matches in 15 days (they play Liverpool on Thursday) begins with this high 4 conflict at Old Trafford. So far United have held their nerve of their bid to complete as Premier League runners up. After a few poor outcomes, although, Leicester are out to 1.845/6 for a top four finish.
Key Stat: Man Utd come into this contest unbeaten of their final 12 Premier League matches towards Leicester (W8-D4-L0).
Mark O’Haire says: “Both Man Utd and Leicester are delivering an average 3.03 goals per-game across their Premier League match-ups this term, a joint-high along with Southampton. The two teams have also posted around a 60% success-rate for Over 2.5 Goals 2.1011/10 alternatives, with constructive returns additionally produced when dipping into the Both Teams To Score 1.834/5 column.
“With United now secured within the top-four and doubtlessly placing extra emphasis on Thursday night’s fixture, a level of rotation is predicted, while a extra expressive effort could possibly be so as from the hosts. Leicester’s aforementioned defensive woes will encourage the Red Devils and it is troublesome to dismiss the house facet getting on the scoresheet.
“Nevertheless, Leicester are the league’s most consistent for scoring on the road with the Foxes also bagging in 11 of their 15 duels with top-half rivals. Indeed, the reverse ended in an enjoyable 2-2 draw at the KP and a repeat could well be on the cards. Considering the circumstances, Both Teams To Score appeals at 1.834/5.”
Inter are the champions however the race for the highest 4 is fascinating in Italy’s high flight. Napoli are odds-on to seize one of many spots and getting three extra factors on the board right here would give them a psychological edge over their rivals who all play the next day.
Key Stat: Napoli are unbeaten in six with 4 wins and two attracts since a 2-1 reverse towards Juventus.
Tom Victor says: An capacity to create possibilities could possibly be important in settling a congested top-four battle, and Napoli have averaged 2.09 xGF throughout their final 4 video games and scored 12 precise targets in these fixtures to climb again into fourth spot.
“Rino Gattuso’s side needed a last-minute Tiemoué Bakayoko goal to win at Friuli in January, and Infogol’s model anticipates another victory over Udinese on home soil.”
Tom’s wager: Back the 2-1 @ 9.008/1
Southampton v Crystal Palace
Tuesday 11 May, 20:15
Live on Sky Sports
A few months in the past Southampton have been using excessive within the Premier League. Now, with simply 4 video games to play, they’re within the backside 5. Thirteenth-placed Palace will probably be happier with their season however it might nonetheless be no shock in the event that they have been beneath new administration subsequent time period.
Key Stat: Crystal Palace striker Christian Benteke has scored 11 targets in 18 Premier League video games performed on Tuesdays, with solely Alan Shearer (15) and Wayne Rooney (13) netting extra on the day.
Paul Robinson says: “I thought that Over 2.5 would be around the 1.84/5 mark, so at 2.0421/20, I am more than happy to get involved. There have been three goals or more in four of Southampton’s last seven on this ground, and the same can be said for five of Palace’s last eight on their travels.
“Occasionally these finish of season clashes can peter out into boring 0-0s, however they will additionally find yourself being abnormally high-scoring. The stats are on our facet on the subject of Over 2.5 anyway, however not solely am I going to again that, I’m going to take an opportunity on Over 4.5 at across the 7.87/1 mark.
“A good looking Bet Builder for this game has to feature Christina Benteke to score his fourth goal in seven outings, combined with Palace to win and Over 2.5 Goals in the match.”
Paul’s wager: Back Over 4.5 Goals @ 7.87/1
Barcelona drifted to 4.84/1 to win the La Liga title after their draw with new favourites Atletico Madrid 1.84/5 on the weekend. Ronald Koeman’s males path Atleti by two factors with three to play.
Key Stat: Levante are and not using a win in 5 video games (D1 L4).
Tom Victor says: “Barcelona found themselves frustrated at the Wanda Metropolitano on Saturday, failing to get a lucky break in a broadly even clash with Atlético Madrid, meaning Ronald Koeman’s men probably need maximum points from their final three games to have any chance of the title.
“A journey to a Levante facet averaging 1.83 xGA per dwelling recreation may be the best of the trio, although, with Barça agency favourites at Ciutat de Valencia.”
Tom’s wager: Back the 1-2 @ 11.0010/1
Milan produce arguably their best performance of the season to win 3-0 at Juventus on Sunday – a win which means the Rossoneri are 1.232/9 for a top four finish with the champions drifting to 2.3611/8 and in serious danger of missing out. Now they go back to Turin and another three points is vital.
Key Stat: In Milan’s last three matches (W2L1) only one team managed to score.
Tom Victor says: “A 3-0 victory over Juventus final weekend means Milan’s destiny is of their arms as soon as extra, and Stefano Pioli’s facet can benefit from that consequence by taking the factors at Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino.
“The hosts are only narrow underdogs according to Infogol’s model, as they continue to fight for their Serie A lives, and the Rossoneri may well find themselves needing to dig deep for victory.”
Tom’s wager: Back the 1-2 @ 8.207/1
Chelsea v Arsenal
Wednesday 12 May, 20:15
Live on Sky Sports Main Event
Chelsea’s outstanding transformation beneath Thomas Tuchel continued with a 2-1 win away to Manchester City. The West Londoners are heavy odds-on for a top four finish. For London rivals Arsenal ending within the high six stays mathematically potential however unlikely as odds of 50.049/1 point out.
Key Stat: Chelsea haven’t conceded in any of their final three dwelling video games.
Dan Fitch says: Chelsea are the 1.715/7 favourites, with the draw at 4.1 and Arsenal out at 5.79/2. Even permitting for the truth that Tuchel may rotate, that appears like a superb worth for a Chelsea win. They’ve overwhelmed Real Madrid and Manchester City of their final two video games.
“The three goals that we saw in Chelsea’s match against Manchester City, was something of a rarity. Under 2.5 goals has proven to be a reliable bet since Tuchel took charge, with 21 of their 25 games seeing less than three goals. You can back under 2.5 goals to land again at odds of 1.865/6.
“A Chelsea win and under 2.5 goals might be backed at 3.814/5. Some 14 of their 17 wins beneath Tuchel have seen this wager land.”
Dan’s wager: Back Chelsea to beat Arsenal at 1.715/7
Atletico Madrid v Real Sociedad
Wednesday 12 May, 21:00
Live on LaLigaTV and Betfair Live Video
It’s Atletico who perhaps have the toughest fixture of the title contenders in this round, as they host a Real Sociedad side that still need points to secure European qualification.
Key Stat: Atletico have kept clean sheets in four of their last five matches.
Dan Fitch says: “Atletico’s kind has been patchy over current months, which has seen a seemingly unassailable lead dwindle to a slight one, however they’ve proved dependable at dwelling of late. Simeone’s facet are unbeaten of their final 5 dwelling video games (W4 D1), profitable every of the final 4, with the draw coming towards Real Madrid.
“Sociedad beat Elche 2-0 at the weekend, but their record against the top four is not inspiring (P7 D2 L5, losing the reverse fixture 2-0. Back Atletico to pick up a vital win at 1.774/5.”