Angry Bayern to come back out swinging
Bayern Munich v Freiburg
Sunday 17 January, 14:30
Live on BT Sport and Betfair Live Video
There’s an argument to say that this has been Bayern Munich’s hardest week since coach Hansi Flick took cost. An extraordinary spell of success that noticed the Bavarian giants hoover up 5 trophies has now seen Flick’s crew endure the jolt of its first actual bump within the street. Firstly, Bayern blew a 2-0 lead in a 3-2 defeat at Borussia Mönchengladbach, after which they suffered the indignity of crashing out of the DFB Cup at second-tier Holstein Kiel. In wintry situations within the far north of Germany, Bayern leaked a last-gasp equaliser, and misplaced on penalties. It was their first defeat to non-Bundesliga opposition for 16 years.
There are ongoing considerations. Bayern have fallen behind of their final 9 Bundesliga matches, they’ve gone ten league video games with no clear sheet (Manuel Neuer’s worst ever run within the German high flight), and no-one within the high half of the desk has a worse defensive report. Flick criticised the defensive errors his crew made in Kiel, however has refuted strategies that his gamers lack ample starvation and motivation. Thomas Müller’s spiky post-match interview with broadcaster ARD was indicator of the frustration within the squad, and the need to place issues proper.
Many individuals will take a look at this recreation in opposition to in-form Freiburg and really feel there is a huge likelihood of an upset. The Black Forest facet have received 5 video games in a row within the league, scoring 16 targets within the course of. However, they leak loads of targets, and their report in opposition to Bayern is poor.
Christian Streich’s facet suffered a pair of 3-1 defeats in opposition to the champions final time period, they usually have misplaced 9 of the final 11 conferences within the league. This season they’ve misplaced 4-0 to Borussia Dortmund, 4-2 to Bayer Leverkusen and 3-0 to RB Leipzig.
I’ll use the Sportsbook’s Same Game Multi to again a Bayern win, Over 3.5 Goals and Robert Lewandowski to attain at 2.22. Lewandowski has already scored 20 league targets, and is midway to the legendary Gerd Müller’s single-season report of 40.
Werder to fail at house once more
Werder Bremen v Augsburg
Saturday 16 January, 14:30
Live on Betfair Live Video
Werder are one of the crucial perplexing groups within the league. They managed to attract at Bayern and at Bayer Leverkusen, however at house they actually wrestle to get outcomes. The northerners have received simply two of their final 22 Bundesliga house video games, and the final of these victories was within the first week of October. In their final 30 league matches at house, they’ve managed a paltry two clear sheets. In principle, coach Florian Kohfeldt must be beneath strain, however the lack of funds implies that expectations have been downgraded.
Augsburg are the 3.613/5 outsiders right here, and I can not actually fathom why. They have received their final two away video games, they usually’ve solely misplaced two of their final 9 on the street. They have solely failed to attain in a type of 9 matches. They are two locations and 4 factors higher off than Werder within the standings.
I’ll again Augsburg/Draw Double Chance and Over 1.5 Goals right here at 2.21 on the Same Game Multi. 13 of Werder’s 15 league video games have featured not less than two targets.
Humiliated Hoffe to seek out succour
Hoffenheim v Arminia Bielefeld
Saturday 16 January, 14:30
Live on Betfair Live Video
Losing to a crew that hadn’t received within the Bundesliga for 30 matches was by no means going to be search for Hoffenheim, however their embarrassing 4-0 reverse on the Veltins Arena did not truly inform the entire story. Hoffenheim created loads of early possibilities (they’d an xG of 1.93 based on Infogol), however discovered Royal Blues’ keeper Ralf Fahrmann is beautiful kind. I genuinely imagine that if Hoffenheim had scored first, Schalke would have crumbled.
However, that did not occur, and now coach Sebastian Hoeness is beneath severe strain. He’s been given a vote of confidence by sporting director Alexander Rosen, however defeat to lowly Arminia Bielefeld this weekend would push the previous Bayern reserve boss near the brink. It would not assist that ten senior professionals are at the moment injured, though Sebastian Rudy is on monitor to return to the midfield.
The saving grace may very well be that Arminia’s away kind is massively disappointing. Uwe Neuhaus’ facet have misplaced 5 of their final six street matches, and have not scored a number of targets in any of them. You can by no means query their work ethic or depth, they usually bullied Hertha Berlin on Sunday in a 1-0 win, however they lack technical high quality and do not carry a lot of a objective risk.
Even a depleted Hoffenheim have extra high quality than the guests, and I’ll again the hosts to select up a much-needed win, boosting their worth by backing them -0.5 & -1.0 on the Asian Handicap. Their final 4 house wins have all been by two targets or extra.
Union to strike
Union Berlin v Bayer Leverkusen
Friday 15 January, 19:30
Live on BT Sport and Betfair Live Video
Every time it seems as if Union Berlin will likely be slowed down this season, they discover a technique to shock their critics. Despite the lack of talismanic ahead Max Kruse, coach Urs Fischer has stored up the attacking momentum by pairing in-form Nigerian striker Taiwo Awoniyi with Dutch speedster Sheraldo Becker. The latter is often a large participant, however he has taken to his new central function with relish, and has scored beautiful targets in his final two video games.
Union’s front-foot strategy has led to eight of their final ten video games that includes not less than three targets, and I believe there’s each likelihood of that tally enhancing but additional in opposition to a Bayer Leverkusen facet that scored 4 instances within the DFB Cup in midweek in opposition to Eintracht Frankfurt. Nine of Bayer’s final 11 Bundesliga matches have seen an Over 2.5 Goals wager land, together with their final 5 away video games, and these are each groups to have pace in assault and wish to play on the entrance foot.