After bagging two winners within the Europa League ultimate, Paul Higham now heads to France for Thursday’s stats wager within the essential relegation play-off…
After a pleasant couple of winners surrounding the half-time stats for Villarreal v Man Utd, we’re working with the identical components for Thursday’s stats wager.
Toulouse are trying to bounce again into Ligue 1 on the first time of asking after being relegated final season – they host the first leg in opposition to Nantes who completed third from backside in Ligue 1.
Nantes gained 4 of their final 5 league video games however defeat of their final in opposition to Montpellier noticed them end within the dreaded relegation play-off place by only one level.
Two attracts of their final two video games value Toulouse the prospect of automated promotion, however they received over that disappointment with a 3-0 win over Grenoble to advance to this two-legged affair.
Only one Ligue 2 facet has gained by means of the play-off system because it was launched in 2017, however having solely simply been within the high flight, Toulouse will fancy their probabilities of reversing that development.
Nantes are within the relegation play-off for the first time in eight years, and regardless of their late successful run they misplaced the massive recreation that mattered, and that’ll be a fear.
Their defence can even be a fear, as they conceded 1.45 targets per recreation and saved simply two clear sheets of their final 20 league video games – and that’ll be music to Toulouse’s ears.
Les Violets misplaced simply two of their 19 dwelling video games in Ligue 2, a document helped by the very fact they have been by no means behind at half-time, main six instances and drawing 13 after 45 minutes.
Nantes additionally failed to rating within the first half in nearly 64% of their Ligue 1 away video games – which means 3.39/4 on Toulouse leading at the interval seems a pleasant value.
Toulouse have been excellent at breaking the impasse, scoring first in 79% of Ligue 2 video games this season, and with Nantes’ first-half struggles then it is also a fairly good wager at 2.01/1 for the hosts to score first on Thursday evening.
But we’ll take the additional worth on provide on the hosts beginning quick and being forward on the break.