Back Salah to strike at the KP

Leicester v Liverpool
Saturday February 13, 12:30
BT Sport

Leicester‘s outdoors hopes of profitable the Premier League title suffered a blow after being held to a goalless draw at Midlands rivals Wolves final weekend. The dour Molineux stalemate means Brendan Rodgers‘ aspect stay in third, sitting a full seven factors adrift of league leaders Manchester City, who even have an extra recreation in hand over the Foxes.

City have boasted a wonderful away document this season however have been flat for giant intervals of the Wolves contest and failed to absolutely check Rui Patricio. James Maddison tried his luck with a few drives from distance however the efforts have been comfortably stored out, though Jamie Vardy made his return from damage on the hour mark and nearly gained it in time added time.

The Foxes confronted only one shot on-target – although it was the finest probability for both aspect – and was beautifully stored out by Kasper Schmeichel at full stretch. Post-match Rodgers admitted a share of the spoils was a good end result after his aspect “didn’t manage to make that breakthrough” to create any clear-cut alternatives.

Liverpool‘s Premier League title defence is in tatters after the Reds have been thrashed 4-1 by table-topping Manchester City at Anfield final Sunday. A half-time system swap from the Citizens tilted the tie of their favour and a virtuoso efficiency by Phil Foden, plus a nightmare show from the champions’ goalkeeper Alisson finally proved decisive.

Alisson – instrumental throughout the Reds’ run to Premier League and Champions League glory – suffered arguably the largest nightmare of his Liverpool profession, making two dangerous clearances in the build-up to City’s essential second purpose, then compounding it with a good worse error for the third. However, Jurgen Klopp‘s outfit have been outclassed throughout the contest.

It was a flat Anfield efficiency and Klopp should now take into account whether or not his deadline-day centre-back signings Ben Davies and Ozan Kabak are prepared to be given a possibility from the off with Fabinho and Jordan Henderson having continued in the position final day trip.

Liverpool have loved head-to-head supremacy in Premier League match-ups with Leicester over current seasons. The Reds have taken prime honours in 12 of their previous 17 conferences with the Foxes at this degree (W12-D3-L2), together with profitable six of the previous seven, in addition to every of the most up-to-date three conferences at the King Power Stadium.

Leicester 3.65 have thrived on the street in the Premier League this time period however produced a collection of erratic performances on house soil. Brendan Rodgers’ outfit have W1-D1-L4 when welcoming top-half opposition and conceded a number of targets in 4 of these KP fixtures. Surprisingly, the hosts additionally rank solely twelfth for non-penalty anticipated targets ratio (npxG).

Liverpool 2.166/5 have misplaced consecutive league video games for the first time beneath Jurgen Klopp – they’ve not misplaced three in a row in the Premier League since November 2014 when managed by Brendan Rodgers. However, the Merseysiders have been spectacular winners in every of their previous two away journeys at Tottenham and West Ham, highlighting their high quality to carry out.

Four clear sheets in six outings has contributed to Leicester seeing the Over 2.5 Goals 1.728/11 barrier break in solely three of their final 12 Premier League encounters. Meanwhile, simply three of Liverpool’s previous 9 league matches since Christmas have additionally featured at least three targets, and so I’m comfortable to swerve fairly brief costs on a goal-heavy recreation.

Instead, I’ll fortunately take odds-against quotes on Mohamed Salah to score first at 4.507/2. The Egyptian hitman has 22 targets throughout 32 appearances in 2020/21, while notching 89 Premier League targets for the Reds in simply 130 total outings. On penalties, the division’s prime goalscorer averages over three photographs per-game, plus 0.37 non-penalty xG per-game.