What’s the stage like?
Almost equivalent to Stage 4 within the 2020 Giro d’Italia, albeit with an additional 35km or so tacked on to the tip that sees the peloton end in Messina.
That was a sprinter’s stage that day, and there is little cause to assume will probably be any completely different right here. The complicating issue is the class two Portella Mandrazz coming after 75km. It’s no monster climb, however some sprinters will discover themselves out the again, with their groups having to assist them re-join on the lengthy descent and run-in to the end.
That end is difficult. It undulates and there are two sharp left-hand turns within the final 1.4km. It will probably be no large shock if we see crashes.
Who are the favourites?
With it being (in all probability) a dash stage, it is laborious to not preview Caleb Ewan (3.505/2) and Mark Cavendish (5.509/2) because the almost definitely winners. There are causes to be nervous concerning the possibilities of each, although. Even at his finest, Ewan can be inconsistent, and his lacklustre efficiency on Stage 3 means there stay doubts about whether or not he has absolutely recovered from his crash on Stage 1.
Cavendish in the meantime appears to be the dominant quick man within the race, however was out the again early on Stage 4, lengthy earlier than the peloton reached the slopes of Mount Etna. Unless he can maintain himself nearer to the motion, his sprinting prowess could also be irrelevant. His odds take account of this, although, and so he is price a saver guess.
Who are the almost definitely outsiders?
Arnaud Demare (13.0012/1) gained the close to carbon copy 2020 stage, and his type from Stage 3 this 12 months means that he could – lastly – be recovering his standing as a sprinter to be feared. If he can get to the end in rivalry, he ought to have the higher of the likes of Fernando Gaviria (15.0014/1) and Phil Bauhaus (20.0019/1)
The punchier riders like Mathieu van der Poel (12.0011/1), Biniam Girmay (8.007/1) and Diego Ulissi (150.00149/1) may make the most of the complicated end and steal a march on the out-and-out sprinters, however they do not look worth on the odds.
What impact will it have on the general markets?
After the shuffling away of these with out legitimate claims to General Classification contender-ship of Stage 4, this will probably be a day for the Pink Jersey hopefuls to maintain their heads down and keep out of bother.
*Odds appropriate on the time of writing