The event favorite, world primary and 2019 champion enters the fray at present. Judd Trump is the shortest odds of any first spherical favorite, buying and selling at simply 1.061/18 to beat Liam Highfield.
Now, earlier than assuming this can be a certainty, we should always do not forget that Trump has endured loads of first spherical troubles on the Crucible. In 2017 he misplaced to Rory McLeod in an monumental upset. A 12 months later he got here inside a body of the same shock to Chris Wakelin. Tom Ford gave him a fright final 12 months.
Trump miles forward of Highfield
That actually is about the one argument one might make for Highfield although – the gulf in school is huge. Whereas Trump has dominated three straight seasons, this plucky qualifier hasn’t gone past the last-32 stage of any occasion throughout that interval.
For an curiosity, take 10/3 on Trump to win the primary 4 frames 4-0.
Allen’s Crucible file is stunning
A a lot extra believable upset is Lyu Haotian to beat Mark Allen. Considering how disappointing Allen has been in 2021, and it have to be stated this championship, 1.282/7 for the match strikes me as an atrocious worth guess.
In the final 9 renewals, Allen reached just one quarter-final and misplaced 4 occasions at this primary spherical stage. His conquerors – Jamie Clarke, Mark King, Zhou Yuelong and Cao Yupeng – got here in with related, typically inferior, credentials.
Haotian carried out nicely right here in 2018
To be clear, this does not replicate any nice expectations from Haotian. His route to the Crucible was simpler than most, boosted by Noppon Saengkham’s withdrawal. It hasn’t been an inspiring season.
One optimistic is how nicely he performed to attain the last-16 right here in 2018, exhibiting he will not be overawed by the event. Here the plan is a again to lay on Haotian at 4.57/2. Set an order to lay him at 1.84/5 in-running. That commerce successfully pays 6/4.
Hawkins and Selt set for marathon
Finally, Barry Hawkins versus Matt Selt looks good for an Over 17.5 Frames guess. Their final three matches all went to deciding frames and they’re separated by simply two frames all through their careers.
Selt received most not too long ago on the Gibraltar Open, when producing glorious kind to attain the semi-finals. He’s a greater participant, at the very least in excessive profile matches, than when dropping 10-9 to Hawkins right here in 2015.
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