Rhys Williams has no choices for right this moment however has analysed what appears a fiendish puzzle within the opening race at Wincanton.
“This looks an ultra-tricky race for punters to solve to start the day at Wincanton with so many doubts over the market leaders but that does make it an interesting race to watch unfold.”
Plenty of inquiries to reply
One of the keys of worthwhile betting is understanding when to not guess and, for me, nothing appeals right this moment on a tricky trying set of playing cards. The opening race at Wincanton presents a notably powerful punting puzzle.
Confirmation Bias heads the market however he comes into this on the again of an terrible run at Newbury. He was far too eager that day over 2m4½f and shortly dropped away early within the residence straight. The drop again to 1m7f and the great floor ought to be extra appropriate however he is usually been inconsistent and it is tough to make sure what to anticipate from him, with cheekpieces now occurring for the primary time too.
Hope You Do was a winner on debut in an AQPS flat race at Angers. He was privately purchased afterwards by JP McManus and despatched to Philip Hobbs. He was despatched off evens favorite for his hurdling debut at Warwick however severely upset. In a steadily run race, he was eager early on however then did not appear to be travelling nice working down the hill on the far aspect of the observe. He managed to get into competition turning the ultimate bend however discovered little beneath driving and hung left within the residence straight, ending fifth. It’s now tough to know if the obvious greenness proven on debut at Angers was that or if it was truly awkwardness. He’s one other who might be suited by the faster floor right this moment.
Gold Link is one other French AQPS import, having completed second on each begins for Adrien Lacombe. His two runs since becoming a member of Emma Lavelle have been much less promising. He ran fairly properly on his first begin over hurdles at Newton Abbot, albeit finally overwhelmed 44 lengths by Metier, however final time at Chepstow wasn’t as encouraging and he was reported to have made a noise. He’s since had a wind op so that would result in some enchancment, as might the faster floor. Although formally heavy on his second begin in France, it wasn’t that mushy and I believe he might admire this higher floor.
Kalyptra confirmed skill on debut in an Irish level and ran fairly properly on hurdling debut for Nick Mitchell at Taunton. He raced fairly keenly in entrance that day and held that place till early within the residence straight. He was solely a few lengths down at 2 out however received in shut and he light tamely from that time. This sharper check may even see him in a greater mild and he would possibly take benefit if others have off days.
Kost A Coat was off the observe for 714 days prior to creating his hurdling debut at Sandown final time. In floor that was extra testing than the official good to mushy, he raced at the again of the small subject till making floor on the surface on the ultimate bend. He jumped 2 out in a share of third and nearly held second at the final however he landed awkwardly and had nothing left on the run in, coming residence 27 lengths behind the winner in fifth. The means he travelled that day means that he nonetheless retains the flexibility he confirmed in bumpers however he has to indicate that he can again it up on the second begin after an extended break.
This appears an ultra-tricky race for punters to resolve to begin the day at Wincanton with so many doubts over the market leaders however that does make it an fascinating race to observe unfold.