After greater than a decade of the Valero Texas Open being performed at The Oaks course, there are a number of kind tendencies to observe and specialists. Whilst previous information are factored into the odds to a point, I’m comfortable to position belief in those that have completed it right here earlier than, on a number of events.
Not a lot to beat for course specialist Moore
Here, meaning counting on Ryan Moore stepping up on the degree seen to date in 2021. At this course he is recorded three top-eights in 4 tries, with nothing worse than 18th. That’s higher than he is managed this time period however a pair of mid-division efforts at Pebble Beach and Bay Hill had been respectable sufficient.
Moore might not want obtain a lot to win this. Course debutant Bo Hoag has bettered 71 solely as soon as in his final 9 opening rounds. Sean O’Hair withdrew final time and has terrible latest numbers.
Gmac very well-suited to this check
Graeme McDowell discovered some kind from nowhere final week to complete fourth at Corales and this course is correct up his alley. The former US Open champion loves a grind in the wind and completed seventh in the final renewal (2019), amongst three cuts, recording opening rounds of 68/72/69.
A repeat could be aggressive on this group. D.A. Points has bettered 71 solely as soon as in 15 San Antonio rounds and has made simply one lower anyplace in two years. Aaron Wise is the clear favorite however he missed the lower on his sole go to and may be very inconsistent, hitting a excessive share of poor opening rounds.
Huh rock-solid in very weak group
Statistically, Joh Huh seems banker materials. A former runner-up, who has hit sub-70 on six of his final 9 rounds and missed solely two cuts in 15. Zhang has bettered 70 solely as soon as in 15 openers and solely went on to raised sixtieth as soon as in these occasions.
At his greatest of course, Rafa Cabrera Bello would have a robust likelihood however he is method off that degree. He averages 74 for his ten rounds on the PGA Tour this yr and his iron play numbers are particularly worrying, given that’s his regular power.
Kuchar has the course credentials
In search of a kind increase forward of the Masters, Hideki Matsuyama makes his course debut. Whilst a worthy favorite, this one does not enchantment, up towards a principal opponent whose course document is rock-solid.
Kuchar has by no means missed a lower right here, registering 4 top-15 finishes. Last week’s return to kind in his perfect Matchplay format is an enormous optimistic. Phil Mickelson is the outsider and as ever, to not be written off, however he had a nasty time on all three earlier visits.
Hoffman the nap towards two strugglers
Finally, the nap. Charley Hoffman is the definition of a course specialist. All ten cuts made, eight top-13 finishes together with a quartet of top-threes. After top-20 finishes at Sawgrass, Bay Hill and Pebble Beach, he is additionally received a important kind edge over each of these opponents.
Schwartzel continues to be struggling and has bettered 70 solely as soon as in his final ten opening rounds. Kyle Stanley is 31 over par for his final 4 rounds and has by no means made the top-50 at San Antonio in 5 makes an attempt.